January 29, 2026
Finance

Analysts Reduce Microsoft Price Targets After Q2 Earnings Beat Expectations

Strong Microsoft Cloud Revenue Growth Fails to Prevent Post-Earnings Share Decline and Analyst Downgrades

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Summary

Microsoft Corp. announced better-than-anticipated financial results for its second quarter, with revenues reaching $81.3 billion, surpassing analyst estimates driven largely by robust cloud segment performance. Despite exceeding revenue and earnings expectations, the company's share price declined nearly 7% in pre-market trading, followed by several prominent analysts lowering their price targets while maintaining favorable ratings.

Key Points

Microsoft's Q2 revenue reached $81.3 billion, 21% higher year-over-year, surpassing analyst estimates of $80.25 billion.
Non-GAAP earnings per share were $4.14, exceeding the consensus estimate of $3.86.
Microsoft Cloud revenue topped $50 billion in the quarter, demonstrating strong demand for cloud services.
Despite strong earnings, Microsoft’s stock price dropped 6.8% in pre-market trading following the announcement.

Microsoft Corp. reported its earnings results for the second quarter shortly after market close on Wednesday, revealing financial performance that exceeded consensus expectations. The company disclosed total quarterly revenues of $81.3 billion, marking a 21% increase compared with the same period in the prior year. This revenue figure outpaced analysts' estimates, which were projected at $80.25 billion according to data compiled by Benzinga Pro.

Non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) were reported at $4.14, comfortably surpassing the consensus forecast of $3.86. The corporate leadership highlighted the continued strength of the firm's cloud services offering as a key driver behind the solid results. Microsoft Chief Financial Officer Amy Hood noted that cumulative Microsoft Cloud revenue had surpassed the $50 billion threshold in this quarter, emphasizing the sustained market demand for the company’s suite of cloud products and services.

Despite the earnings beat, Microsoft’s shares experienced downward pressure in early trading, falling by 6.8% to a pre-market price of $448.82. This negative price action occurred even as Microsoft outperformed expectations across the key financial metrics of revenue, operating income, and EPS.

Following the earnings announcement, several analysts reviewed their valuation outlooks for Microsoft. Hannah Rudoff, an analyst at Piper Sandler, maintained an Overweight rating on the stock but revised her price target downward from $650 to $600. Similarly, Keybanc’s Jackson Ader upheld an Overweight stance but reduced the price target from $630 to $600.

Both analysts’ decisions to moderate their price targets indicate a reassessment of the risk-reward balance at current valuation levels, despite the company’s demonstrated growth trajectory in the cloud segment and earnings resilience.

Microsoft’s quarterly results underline the robustness of its cloud business, which continues to be a major revenue contributor and a core component of the company’s future growth strategy. Crossing the $50 billion threshold in cloud revenue evidences strong demand and solid market positioning. However, the market reaction and subsequent analyst price target reductions suggest investors and analysts may be factoring in valuation concerns or potential top-line and margin pressures moving forward.

The company’s stock price decline, despite earnings beats, highlights a complexity in investor sentiment that transcends short-term financial performance. The revised price targets and maintained Overweight ratings signal that while confidence in Microsoft’s outlook remains generally positive, there is a noted caution regarding current price levels and outlook risks.

In summary, Microsoft’s Q2 results delivered robust revenue and earnings beats anchored by exceptional cloud growth, but market and analyst responses reflect a nuanced appraisal of valuation and future prospects.

Risks
  • Adjusted price targets by analysts indicate possible concerns over valuation levels despite positive earnings.
  • The decline in share price despite earnings beat suggests market uncertainties affecting investor sentiment.
  • Future revenue and margin pressures could impact Microsoft’s capacity to sustain current growth rates and profitability.
Disclosure
Education only / not financial advice
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