January 12, 2026
Finance

Bitcoin's Steady Trajectory Amid Market Flux Highlights Potential Near-Term Breakout

Leading Cryptocurrencies Hold Ground While Dogecoin Sees a Decline; Analyst Predicts Bitcoin May Surpass $100,000 Soon

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Summary

As global financial markets experience dynamic shifts influenced by political and geopolitical developments, major cryptocurrencies have shown varied performance with Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP maintaining relative stability, whereas Dogecoin faced a decline. Bitcoin's recent price movements and analysis from market experts suggest a potential rally towards the $100,000 mark within the month, contingent on certain market conditions.

Key Points

Bitcoin reached an intraday high near $92,390 before stabilizing around $91,000 with doubled trading volume.
Ethereum and XRP showed relative price stability while Dogecoin declined by approximately 1.64%.
More than $230 million was liquidated in cryptocurrency markets over 24 hours, predominantly from long positions.
CryptoQuant highlighted increased loss-taking by short-term Bitcoin holders amidst a rising price trend, a pattern often indicating market opportunity.

The start of the week witnessed equities reaching unprecedented highs, reflecting investor confidence amid unfolding political and geopolitical circumstances. Meanwhile, the largest cryptocurrencies displayed mixed behavior: Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and XRP held relatively steady, contrasting with Dogecoin's (DOGE) downward movement.

Bitcoin ascended early in the day to a price near $92,390 but gradually lost momentum, settling around the $91,000 level. Notably, trading volume surged considerably, nearly doubling within a 24-hour window to reach approximately $38.78 billion, indicative of heightened market activity and investor engagement.

Ethereum's price fluctuated narrowly around $3,000 while experiencing a significant 66% increase in trading volume, totaling around $19.73 billion. XRP mirrored stability with a moderate decline, trading near $2.05. Conversely, Dogecoin declined by 1.64%, trading near $0.1367, signaling weaker investor sentiment relative to the other top cryptocurrencies.

Among cryptocurrency-related equities, companies such as Strategy Inc. (NASDAQ: MSTR) and Bitmine Immersion Technologies Inc. (NYSE: BMNR) recorded gains, closing with increases of 3.11% and 3.56%, respectively, suggesting sustained investor interest in businesses tied to the crypto sector.

Market data revealed over $230 million in liquidations within the cryptocurrency domain in the prior 24 hours, with more than half pertaining to long positions, underscoring volatility and directional uncertainty. Concurrently, Bitcoin's open interest contracted by 2.82%, and the proportion of long positions on Binance traders declined from 69% to 65%, reflecting cautious sentiment among market participants.

Within a 24-hour gainers list (for cryptocurrencies exceeding $100 million in market capitalization), Story (IP) experienced a 23.75% increase to $3.04, while Verge (XVG) and BUILDon (B) rose 18.56% and 18.03% to $0.007063 and $0.2720, respectively. The aggregate cryptocurrency market capitalization edged up marginally by 0.11%, reaching $3.11 trillion, indicating a generally stable market environment.

In traditional markets, the Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced by 86.13 points (0.17%), setting a new record close at 49,590.20. Similarly, the S&P 500 achieved a fresh high, closing at 6,977.2 with a 0.16% increase. The Nasdaq Composite, driven largely by technology stocks, rose 0.26% to 23,733.90, extending the bullish momentum across equity classes.

Precious metals also exhibited strength, with gold and silver prices attaining record levels. This surge was attributed to a reassessment of the Federal Reserve's authority following the Department of Justice's announcement of a criminal investigation into Chair Jerome Powell. These developments have heightened investor concern regarding policy stability and central bank independence.

Energy markets responded to geopolitical tensions, particularly between the United States and Iran, as the price for U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude oil rose modestly by 0.42%, trading at $59.75 per barrel. These factors continue to keep global energy markets attentive to potential supply disruptions.

From a cryptocurrency analytic perspective, CryptoQuant noted an increase in selling activity by short-term Bitcoin holders—those possessing the asset for less than 155 days—at prices below their acquisition cost. This phenomenon was highlighted despite the overall uptrend in Bitcoin's price.

CryptoQuant suggested that such a divergence, where retail investors are capitulating amidst a rising price environment, historically serves as a signal of opportunity. This dynamic underscores short-term fear contrasting with the underlying strength of the market's upward trajectory.

Adding to this outlook, Michaël van de Poppe, a respected crypto analyst and trader, emphasized Bitcoin's ability to sustain levels above its 21-day moving average, positioned near the $90,000 mark. This persistence is interpreted as evidence of robust accumulation.

Van de Poppe projected that surpassing $92,000 could quickly lead to reaching $100,000 within approximately ten days, highlighting the possibility of an imminent breakout if current trends hold.

In summary, the market data, trading activity, and expert analysis converge to paint a cautiously optimistic picture for Bitcoin's near-term future, despite prevailing volatility and geopolitical uncertainties influencing both cryptocurrency and traditional asset classes.

Risks
  • The decline in long positions and significant liquidations indicate market volatility and potential instability.
  • Geopolitical tensions, especially involving the U.S. and Iran, add uncertainty to energy and broader financial markets.
  • The DOJ's criminal probe into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell raises concerns about central bank independence affecting market confidence.
  • Short-term holders selling at losses may reflect underlying retail investor apprehension despite broader market strength.
Disclosure
Education only / not financial advice
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Ticker Sentiment
BTC - neutral ETH - neutral XRP - neutral DOGE - negative
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