January 5, 2026
Finance

Constellation Brands Poised for Q3 Earnings Reveal; Analysts Adjust Outlooks

As Constellation Brands prepares to announce third-quarter results, key analysts revise estimates reflecting mixed expectations

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Summary

Constellation Brands is scheduled to release its third-quarter financial results, with analysts projecting a decline in earnings per share compared to the prior year. Revenue expectations also indicate a decrease. Leading analysts have recently updated their ratings and price targets, maintaining cautious stances ahead of the earnings announcement.

Key Points

Third-quarter earnings per share for Constellation Brands are projected to decline to $2.64 from $3.25 year-over-year.
Revenue forecasts for Q3 anticipate a drop to $2.16 billion versus $2.46 billion in the prior year.
Multiple analysts have lowered price targets recently while mostly maintaining Neutral or Equal-Weight ratings.
Stocks gained modestly ahead of earnings, reflecting cautious optimism among investors.

Constellation Brands, Inc. (NYSE:STZ) is on track to report its financial performance for the third quarter following the market close on Wednesday, January 7, 2025. Investor anticipation centers on earnings per share and revenue figures as the company navigates a period of shifting financial dynamics.

Current analyst consensus anticipates Constellation Brands to report earnings of $2.64 per share for the third quarter. This projection marks a decline when benchmarked against earnings of $3.25 per share posted during the equivalent quarter last year. Correspondingly, expected revenue is set at approximately $2.16 billion, which represents a decrease from $2.46 billion reported in the year-ago quarter, based on aggregated data insights.

The company’s second-quarter results, released on October 6, 2025, surpassed expectations, providing a positive backdrop entering the upcoming report. In the days leading up to the earnings call, the stock price demonstrated some momentum, with shares increasing by 2.3% to close at $141.17.

Analysts tracking Constellation Brands' performance have recently adjusted their recommendations and price targets as they assess the company’s outlook.

  • Michael Lavery of Piper Sandler retains a Neutral rating on the stock. However, he revised the price target downward from $155 to $135 as of November 21, 2025. This analyst maintains a 63% accuracy record in rating predictions.
  • Lauren Lieberman from Barclays continues to hold an Equal-Weight rating. She slightly decreased the price target from $150 to $147 on October 9, 2025, with a hit rate of 59% accuracy.
  • Andrea Teixeira, representing JP Morgan, sustains a Neutral rating and lowered the price target from $173 to $153 on October 8, 2025. Her analyst accuracy stands at 58%.
  • Dara Mohsenian of Morgan Stanley keeps an Equal-Weight rating, cutting the price target from $176 to $160 on October 7, 2025. This analyst reports a 70% accuracy rate.
  • Bonnie Herzog of Goldman Sachs maintains a Buy rating but reduced the price target from $196 to $168 as of October 2, 2025. Herzog’s accuracy rate is 66%.

These adjustments reflect cautious sentiment among analysts as they weigh recent company performance against broader market conditions and sector trends.

Investors considering a position in Constellation Brands should take these mixed analyst insights into account, recognizing the variability in forecasts and the recent performance trends noted.

The stock remains under close observation by market participants as the company approaches its earnings release event.


Key Points

  • Constellation Brands is expected to report third-quarter earnings of $2.64 per share, lower than the $3.25 per share recorded in the previous year.
  • Projected revenue stands at $2.16 billion, a decrease from $2.46 billion reported one year earlier.
  • Several leading analysts have adjusted their price targets downward while maintaining either Neutral or Equal-Weight ratings; one analyst continues to endorse a Buy rating despite lowering the target price.
  • The company’s stock price demonstrated a positive move of 2.3% prior to the earnings announcement, closing at $141.17.

Risks and Uncertainties

  • The anticipated decline in earnings per share compared to the previous year signals potential challenges in maintaining profit levels.
  • Lowered revenue expectations may reflect underlying business pressures or market headwinds impacting sales.
  • Reductions in analyst price targets suggest growing caution, which may affect investor sentiment and share price volatility.
  • The divergence in analyst ratings, with most maintaining neutral stances despite lowering targets, highlights uncertainty in future performance outcomes.
Risks
  • Projected decrease in earnings per share indicates profit margin pressures.
  • Revenue decline could suggest weakening sales or market conditions.
  • Downgraded price targets by analysts may lead to negative investor sentiment.
  • Mixed analyst ratings point to uncertainty regarding near-term company performance.
Disclosure
Education only / not financial advice
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