On Monday, the cryptocurrencies Dogecoin (DOGE) and Shiba Inu (SHIB) each experienced a 3% uptick in their market value, yet both continue to trade significantly below their principal moving averages. This is despite recovering marginally from declines that have erased approximately 60% of their value from respective peaks reached earlier in 2024 and 2025.
Dogecoin’s Price Movement: Temporary Rally or Beginning of Recovery?
Dogecoin saw a modest increase of 3% on the day, yet this movement takes place against the backdrop of an overarching downtrend evident since the asset’s highs near $0.30 to $0.32 in September 2025. Since that peak, DOGE has fallen about 60% and remains positioned below all its major exponential moving averages (EMAs), signifying continued bearish pressure.
Key EMA levels are:
- 20 EMA: $0.13040
- 50 EMA: $0.13728
- 100 EMA: $0.15236
- 200 EMA: $0.17296
Trading beneath these averages shows a lack of upward momentum strong enough to reverse the longer-term bearish trend. Moreover, the price of DOGE is approaching the lower band of Bollinger Bands, currently at $0.11616, an indication that the token may be oversold in the short-term. However, an oversold status signals intensive recent selling rather than an assured trend reversal.
Exchange Outflows: Interpreting the Impact on Dogecoin
Data from Coinglass on netflow reveals an outflow of approximately $10.91 million for DOGE as of January 26. This net movement of Dogecoin off exchanges might suggest some holders are transferring coins to cold storage, effectively reducing immediate sell-side liquidity and pressure. Alternatively, the net outflows combined with the substantial price decline might indicate waning trading interest, implying a segment of the market is disengaging from DOGE entirely.
Shiba Inu Mirrors Dogecoin’s Downward Trajectory
Shiba Inu’s price trajectory follows a similar pattern to DOGE’s with a 3% increase on Monday amid a persistent bearish trend initiated after highs around $0.00001800 in July 2025. Since then, SHIB has demonstrated a sequence of lower highs and lower lows, classic markers of a sustained downtrend.
Technical indicators reinforce this bearish narrative. The Supertrend indicator, placed at $0.00000892, remains above the current price, denoting resistance. Likewise, the Parabolic SAR dots, located at $0.00000875, hover above SHIB’s price, affirming ongoing downward momentum. These indicators act as dynamic resistances, meaning that any upward moves will face selling pressures near these levels.
Key Price Levels to Monitor
For both cryptocurrencies, certain technical thresholds warrant attention from traders and analysts alike:
- Dogecoin (DOGE)
- Resistance: The immediate resistance level sits at the 20 EMA of $0.13040. A more substantial reversal would require breaching the zone between the 100 EMA and 200 EMA, i.e., $0.15236 to $0.17296.
- Support: The lower Bollinger Band at $0.11616 provides short-term support. Falling below approximately $0.11 may expose the token to further downside, potentially testing the $0.08-$0.10 range.
- Shiba Inu (SHIB)
- Resistance: The immediate resistance area extends from $0.00000875 to $0.00000892, encompassing the Parabolic SAR and Supertrend indicators. Clearing and holding above this zone is necessary for bullish momentum to re-emerge.
- Support: A psychological support level exists at $0.00000700. Breaching this floor might lead to declines targeting $0.00000650 to $0.00000600.
Concluding Observations
While Dogecoin and Shiba Inu demonstrate modest gains in the current session, these rises occur within well-established bearish trends, confirmed by several technical factors and moving average placements. Market participants should cautiously interpret these gains as potential short-term rebounds rather than definitive signs of trend reversals. The persistent downtrend, marked by the stair-step pattern of lower highs and lows in SHIB and the sustained underperformance relative to key moving averages in DOGE, underscores the challenges these cryptocurrencies face in regaining bullish control.