December 29, 2025
Finance

Significant Increase in Stake Signals Confidence in California Resources Corporation's Long-Term Cash Flow Potential

Despite Stock Underperformance, Sourcerock Group Commits $169 Million to California-Based Energy Producer

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Summary

Denver-based investment firm Sourcerock Group expanded its ownership in California Resources Corporation (CRC), acquiring an additional 1.18 million shares during the third quarter. This elevates their total holdings to approximately 3.18 million shares, representing an investment valued at $169.14 million as of September 30. While CRC's stock price declined by about 11% over the past year and lagged the S&P 500's gains, Sourcerock's investment underscores a strategic focus on the company's robust operating cash flow, free cash flow generation, and financial stability maintained through operational resilience in fluctuating oil markets.

Key Points

Sourcerock Group increased its ownership in California Resources Corporation by 1.18 million shares during Q3, raising their total holding to approximately 3.18 million shares valued at $169.14 million as of September 30.
California Resources Corporation's integrated operations encompass exploration, production, gathering, processing, and marketing of hydrocarbons in California, alongside electricity generation for utilities and the grid.
The company generated $279 million in operating cash flow and $188 million in free cash flow in Q3, while maintaining capital expenditures of $91 million, supporting dividend payments, buybacks, and debt reduction efforts.

In a notable move within the energy sector, the Denver-headquartered Sourcerock Group augmented its stake in California Resources Corporation, increasing its ownership by roughly 1.18 million shares throughout the third quarter of the year. The latest filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission, issued on November 14, reveals that this addition brings Sourcerock's total share count in CRC to around 3.18 million, valued at $169.14 million by the end of September. This increase equates to a net position change of $77.77 million compared to the previous quarter.

Sourcerock's holdings in CRC now constitute approximately 11.5% of the fund’s assets under management reported in Form 13F filings. This significant weighting reflects a strategic allocation within their broader portfolio, which includes prominent positions such as a $261.30 million investment in NYSE-listed Aramark (AR), comprising 17.77% of their total assets, as well as stakes in Neptune Wellness Solutions (NE), Talos Energy (TALO), and Chord Energy (CHRD).

Despite CRC’s recent stock price falling by nearly 11% over the last twelve months to close at $44.60 per share as of the previous Monday, underperforming the broader S&P 500 index which gained approximately 15.5% during the same period, Sourcerock’s increased exposure indicates confidence in the company's underlying fundamentals rather than short-term market movements.

California Resources Corporation operates as an integrated oil and gas entity within California, engaging in the exploration, production, gathering, processing, and marketing of hydrocarbons. Their business model extends to generating and selling electricity to both utilities and the wider grid, positioning the company with diverse revenue streams primarily derived from commodity sales and electricity generation. The company services various California refineries and other purchasers, utilizing established transportation and storage infrastructure to support its operations.

The investment thesis reflected in Sourcerock’s enhanced position appears to rest on CRC's demonstrated ability to generate substantial operating cash flow and free cash flow, as illustrated in its most recent quarterly performance metrics. In the third quarter, California Resources generated $279 million in operating cash flow and $188 million in free cash flow. Capital expenditures during this period stood at $91 million, enabling the company to maintain strong financial flexibility.

This positive cash flow position has facilitated corporate activities such as dividend distributions, share repurchases, and debt reduction. Notably, management has recently increased the quarterly dividend payout by 5% to $0.405 per share. Additionally, the company retired its outstanding 2026 notes, extending debt maturities and enhancing liquidity, which now totals an estimated $1.15 billion. These financial maneuvers underscore management's commitment to strengthening the balance sheet while returning value to shareholders.

Net income for the quarter was reported at $64 million, with adjusted EBITDAX reaching $338 million, highlighting the resiliency of the company's integrated model even with oil prices remaining substantially below cyclical peaks. This stability in earnings and cash flow generation offers a buffer against volatility inherent in the energy sector.

With its substantial mineral acreage and operational concentration within California, CRC occupies a distinct market position benefiting from local demand dynamics and regulatory policies impacting energy producers in the region. Its integrated infrastructure and diversified revenue streams contribute to operational efficiencies that may yield advantages in both stable and fluctuating market environments.

Overall, the Sourcerock Group's sizeable investment in CRC reflects a high-conviction stance focused on cash flow generation and long-term value accrual rather than short-term growth prospects. The firm's approach signals a willingness to accommodate interim volatility in favor of sustainable financial returns through dividends, debt management, and capital appreciation potential.

Risks
  • The stock price of California Resources Corporation declined by about 11% over the past year, underperforming the S&P 500, indicating potential market volatility or investor concerns.
  • The energy sector is subject to fluctuating commodity prices, with oil prices remaining below previous cycle highs, which could impact the company's revenue and cash flow.
  • Regulatory dynamics within California may influence operational costs and market conditions, presenting uncertainties related to compliance and strategic positioning.
Disclosure
The article is based solely on publicly available information from SEC filings and reported company financials without any additional undisclosed data.
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CRC - neutral
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