January 9, 2026
Finance

Tesla Achieves Record Monthly Sales in China Amid Mixed Quarterly Delivery Results

December marks Tesla's strongest sales month in China, while Q4 deliveries fall below analyst expectations; BYD maintains lead as top global EV manufacturer

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Summary

Tesla Inc. reported its highest ever monthly sales in China in December, delivering 93,843 vehicles and exhibiting a 13.2% year-over-year increase from December 2024. Despite this strong month, Tesla's fourth-quarter global deliveries declined 16% year-over-year, missing analyst estimates. Meanwhile, Chinese competitor BYD has solidified its position as the world's largest electric vehicle manufacturer, showing robust international sales growth alongside mixed domestic results.

Key Points

Tesla achieved a record monthly sales volume in China with 93,843 vehicles sold in December, marking a 13.2% increase compared to December 2024 and a 31.2% rise from the previous quarter.
Tesla’s global deliveries in Q4 fell short of analyst expectations, declining 16% year-over-year to 418,227 units against forecasts near 445,000 units.
Chinese EV manufacturer BYD has surpassed Tesla to become the world’s largest electric vehicle producer, driven by strong growth in international markets such as Europe.
Although BYD’s overseas sales have increased, the company experienced a drop in domestic Chinese sales; concurrently, Chinese automakers’ exports rose by 87%.

In a recent development highlighting Tesla Inc.'s (NASDAQ: TSLA) performance in the Chinese electric vehicle (EV) market, the company reached a new milestone with December sales totaling 93,843 vehicles. This achievement represents a 13.2% growth compared to December 2024, as well as a substantial 31.2% increase quarter-over-quarter. Data illustrated a consistent upward trajectory since October 2020, underscoring December as Tesla's most successful single month in China to date.

Despite this notable performance in the Chinese market, Tesla's overall fourth-quarter delivery figures tell a different story. The automaker reported delivering 418,227 units globally during Q4, marking a 16% decline year-over-year. This figure fell short of the consensus among analysts, who had forecast deliveries around 445,000 units. Observers noted that Tesla's early release of these delivery numbers deviated from its typical pattern, though the data aligned with forecasts by some investors such as Gene Munster.

While Tesla faces challenges in global deliveries, its Chinese competitor BYD Co. Ltd. (OTC: BYDDY, OTC: BYDDF) continues to expand its footprint and has overtaken Tesla to become the largest EV manufacturer worldwide. BYD's advancement is attributed to strong sales growth in foreign markets, particularly Europe, contributing to its ascendance. However, its growth prospects are tempered by declines in domestic sales within China. Interestingly, the export activities of Chinese automakers have surged, with overseas shipments increasing by 87%.

From a market analysis perspective, Tesla exhibits solid momentum and satisfactory quality metrics but is assessed as having weaker value metrics. The stock benefits from favorable pricing trends in both the medium and long term. In pre-market trading, Tesla shares saw a modest gain of 0.24%, trading around $436.84 per share, reflecting investor sentiment following the mixed Q4 delivery report.

Overall, Tesla's record-breaking December sales in China suggest strong demand within that market, even as global delivery volumes face headwinds. The contrast between monthly sales records and a quarterly decline highlights the complexity of Tesla's operational landscape. Meanwhile, BYD's expanded global presence combined with uneven domestic sales underscores shifting dynamics within the competitive EV sector.

Risks
  • Tesla’s fourth-quarter global delivery performance lagged behind analyst consensus, indicating potential challenges in meeting market expectations.
  • Declining domestic sales for BYD in China may pose risks to its overall growth despite strong export performance.
  • Tesla’s release of delivery data earlier than usual could reflect internal uncertainties or strategic shifts, potentially impacting investor perceptions.
  • Competitive pressure in the EV market remains intense, with shifts in sales dynamics between Tesla and BYD creating uncertainty around future market leadership.
Disclosure
Education only / not financial advice
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