February 10, 2026
Finance

Zillow Faces Stock Decline Following Quarterly Earnings That Marginally Beat Revenue Expectations

Mixed financial outcomes and cautious guidance impact Zillow’s share price despite steady operational growth

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Summary

Zillow Group Inc recent quarterly results reflect steady revenue growth surpassing sector averages but show slight underperformance in earnings per share versus estimates. The real estate technology firm ended the period with a robust cash position, executed meaningful share repurchases, and forecasted first-quarter revenue ahead of estimates. Despite these positives, shares dipped notably in after-hours trading, as investors processed the mixed signals from the earnings report.

Key Points

Zillow’s Q4 revenue of $654 million exceeded estimates and grew 18% year-over-year, outpacing the wider residential real estate sector.
Adjusted EPS of 39 cents narrowly missed analyst expectations of 40 cents, dampening earnings enthusiasm.
Cash and investments totaled $1.3 billion, with $232 million spent on share repurchases during the quarter.
Projected Q1 revenue guidance of $700 million to $710 million is above analyst forecasts, signaling optimistic growth prospects.

Zillow Group Inc, the publicly traded real estate technology company, released its financial results for the fourth quarter after the market’s close on Tuesday. The earnings announcement offered a nuanced view of the company’s performance, highlighting both operational strengths and pressures on earnings.

In the reported quarter, Zillow posted total revenues of $654 million. This figure modestly exceeded Wall Street projections, which had anticipated $650.29 million. The revenue growth year-over-year stood at 18%, indicating solid expansion in the company’s core operations. Zillow emphasized that its revenue gains in the quarter outpaced the broader growth experienced within the wider residential real estate market, underscoring the company’s increasing market penetration.

Despite revenue beating forecasts, adjusted earnings per share (EPS) came in at 39 cents, narrowly missing analysts’ consensus estimates of 40 cents. This slight shortfall in EPS contributed to a cautious investor response following the earnings announcement. The company concluded the quarter with a strong liquidity position, holding $1.3 billion in combined cash and investments. Additionally, Zillow continued to return value to shareholders through repurchasing 3.4 million shares of its common stock during the quarter, totaling $232 million.

Jeremy Wacksman, Zillow’s Chief Executive Officer, stated that the company not only delivered robust results for the fourth quarter but also achieved its full-year financial objectives, including a positive net income. Wacksman highlighted that Zillow sustained its momentum in capturing market share across both its For Sale and Rentals segments, demonstrating operational effectiveness and strategic execution.

Looking ahead, Zillow provided guidance for the first quarter of the coming year, projecting revenue between $700 million and $710 million. This guidance lies above consensus analyst estimates, which are at approximately $690.33 million. Wacksman reiterated Zillow’s confidence in its competitive positioning, citing its dedicated user base, advanced software solutions that support real estate workflows, and extensive experience with artificial intelligence innovations accumulated over two decades. He expressed a strategic focus on leveraging these strengths to facilitate growth by enhancing the moving experience for both consumers and real estate professionals.

Despite these forward-looking indicators, Zillow’s stock experienced a decline in after-hours trading immediately following the earnings report. Shares fell by nearly 5%, trading around $52 at the time of the market close on Tuesday. This movement reflects the market’s mixed interpretation of the earnings data, balancing the revenue overperformance and operational milestones against the slight miss on adjusted earnings and the uncertainties inherent in the outlook.

The share price decline after the report serves as a reminder of the sensitivity of technology-driven real estate firms to both headline financial metrics and nuanced guidance. Market participants continue to balance optimism about Zillow’s growth prospects and increasing market share against typical sector volatilities and execution risks.


Key Points:

  • Zillow reported Q4 revenue of $654 million, outperforming estimates and growing 18% year-over-year, surpassing general residential real estate industry growth.
  • Adjusted earnings per share were 39 cents, slightly below the 40-cent analyst consensus, tempering the earnings strength.
  • The company ended the quarter with $1.3 billion in cash and investments after repurchasing $232 million worth of shares, demonstrating ongoing capital management strategies.
  • Zillow’s Q1 revenue outlook between $700 million and $710 million surpasses analyst expectations, indicating continued growth ambition.

Risks and Uncertainties:

  • The slight earnings per share shortfall could raise concerns about operational costs or margin pressures impacting profitability.
  • Market reaction to the mixed report resulted in nearly a 5% decline in after-hours trading, reflecting investor caution.
  • Competition within the residential real estate technology sector remains robust, posing challenges to sustaining revenue momentum.
  • Execution risk related to integrating advanced AI technology and software offerings to maintain long-term growth and market share gains.
Risks
  • The below-estimate adjusted EPS may indicate margin pressures or increased costs affecting profitability.
  • Shares declined by nearly 5% in after-hours trading, showing investor concern over mixed financial results.
  • Competitive pressures in the real estate technology market could challenge sustained growth.
  • Potential execution risks related to leveraging AI and software innovations to drive future revenue and market share gains.
Disclosure
Education only / not financial advice
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