Trade Ideas
Actionable trade ideas with entry/stop/target and risk framing.
TopBuild: Buy the Recovery - M&A-Fueled Growth as Housing and Commercial Demand Re-accelerate
Actionable trade: enter on weakness, manage around integration and leverage risks
TopBuild (BLD) looks positioned to benefit as the housing cycle normalizes and its recent acquisitions broaden exposure to commercial and industrial m...
Ecolab: A Quiet 'Pick-and-Shovel' Play on Cooling & Water Management in the Data Center Build-Out
Use a tactical long — lever exposure to the data-center/water-management thematic via ECL's cash-generative plumbing and a strategic tuck-in acquisition
Ecolab's core water-management business and recent M&A give it a practical role in the build-out of hyperscale facilities. Strong Q3 2025 results, rob...
Tactical Long on B2Gold: Betting on a Catch-Up as Metal Strength Meets Miner Idiosyncrasy
Gold has rallied; B2Gold has room to re-rate if near-term operational news and metal momentum persist.
B2Gold (BTG) is a liquid, dividend-paying mid-tier producer that has meaningful operational catalysts coming out of 2025. The metal backdrop is constr...
Ares Capital: Buy the Rate-Cut Reset — High Yield, Low Price-to-Book, Play the Repricing
BDC income plus rate sensitivity creates asymmetric upside if the Fed pivots — actionable long with defined entry, stops and targets.
Ares Capital (ARCC) offers a rare combination: a ~9.5% cash yield, earnings power that covered the dividend through 2025 quarters, and a market valuat...
Fifth Third After the Comerica Deal - Cheap, Growing, and Underappreciated
A tactical long: reasonable valuation, improving core earnings, plus an M&A catalyst — trade with size discipline.
Fifth Third looks like a value bank with an earnings growth runway and a near-term re-rating catalyst: the announced Comerica acquisition. The franchi...
Petco's Efficiency Push Is Real — A Tactical Long with Defined Risk
Q2–Q3 cash flow and margin improvements signal operational leverage; enter a measured long with a tight stop and upside targets tied to prior multi-month highs.
Petco (WOOF) is showing a steady trajectory toward a more efficient operating model. Recent quarters show improving operating margins and sharply bett...
SMCI - Buying the Oversold AI Play Where Fundamentals Still Matter
Actionable long with defined entries and targets as market prices a deeper derating than results warrant
Super Micro (SMCI) is an idiosyncratic AI infrastructure beneficiary that has seen its multiple compress sharply amid macro weakness and headline-driv...
Archer's Panic Sell-Off Is a Tactical Buy - 2026 Monetization Makes This a High-Risk Reward Setup
Upgrade to Buy — balance sheet intact, certification & launch catalysts in 2026 justify a disciplined long with clear stops and layered targets.
Archer (ACHR) has been punished hard by headline volatility and sentiment drift, but the company's balance sheet and capital raises through mid-2025 f...
Navitas Semiconductor: A High-Conviction, Risk-Aware Long — Buy the Moat, Size the Volatility
GaN adoption, a clean balance sheet and recent commercial wins make NVTS a tactical long with defined risk controls.
Navitas (NVTS) is a small-cap GaN power-IC specialist that looks to be building asymmetric optionality: meaningful adoption tailwinds (fast charging, ...
Fed Cuts Are Only Half the Story - Why Realty Income Deserves a Yield-Seeking Re-Rating
High monthly payout, rising FFO/cash flow and a conservative balance sheet give O an asymmetric risk/reward as rate cuts approach.
Realty Income (O) looks like a classic policy-led trade with company-specific balance-sheet and cash-flow support. Operating cash flow of $943m in Q3 ...
Toast's Profit Turnaround: A Tactical Long on Margin-Fueled Re-rating
From aggressive growth to disciplined, cash-generative scaling — Toast looks priced for progress if execution continues
Toast has moved from growth-at-all-costs to consistently positive operating results and cash flow. Recent quarters show accelerating revenue, expandin...
Kimbell Royalty: High Yield, Stable Cash Flow — Distribution Likely Holds in 2026
Buy the yield with a guardrail: entry 11.00-12.00, stop 10.00, targets 14.00 / 16.50 (position/swing, medium risk).
Kimbell Royalty (KRP) is trading well below prior highs and yields nearly 14% on the 2025 declared distribution run-rate. Recent quarterly operating c...