Trade Ideas
Actionable trade ideas with entry/stop/target and risk framing.
Why NIO Could Be Closer to Break‑Even Than the Market Thinks
A tactical long—entry, stop, targets and the bullish case built on deliveries, ASPs and low expectations
NIO's recent delivery momentum and structural advantages (battery swapping, premium positioning) create a plausible path to near-term breakeven. Price...
KEP Tactical Long - Betting on a Tariff Reset and Cash-Flow Tailwinds
Small dividend, big policy lever: play for higher tariffs and disposition of cash via government channels
KEP (Korea Electric Power Corp) is a government-controlled utility where the near-term equity outcome will hinge less on traditional earnings beats an...
Century Aluminum: Price Action Reflects Tariff Hopes — I’d Trade the Business, Not the Politics
Bullish on market position and offtake stability; don’t bank on tariffs as the primary catalyst.
Century Aluminum (CENX) is a leveraged, commodity-exposed smelter operator with a near-term bull case that should rest on its commercial position and ...
Meta 2026 CapEx Call: Why I Model $111B and Think Overbuild Fears Are Overstated
A trade idea: enter on weakness, respect a tight stop, play AI-driven monetization + disciplined balance sheet
I estimate Meta will spend about $111B in 2026 on capital investments (data centers, power, AI servers). That is a step up from the trailing four-quar...
Shift4 Payments (FOUR): Recovery Trade — Undervalued, Growing, and a Short-Squeeze Candidate
Strong revenue momentum and margin recovery meet a deeply discounted share price — tactical long with tight risk controls.
Shift4’s top-line is accelerating (Q3 FY2025 revenue $1.177B; operating income $114.6M) while the stock has fallen roughly half from its highs and i...
Intuitive Machines: Positioning to Power the Golden Dome - A Risk-Weighted Long Idea
LUNR's contracts, acquisition push and recent financing create a high-upside, high-volatility trade into the Golden Dome era
Intuitive Machines has moved from niche lunar services toward a broader satellite, power and infrastructure play. Recent contract wins, an AFRL extens...
Intuitive Machines - Framework for a Tactical Re-Entry
A disciplined swing trade: buy the story on a pullback, respect the balance sheet noise
Intuitive Machines (LUNR) is a high-volatility, news-driven space services play. The business shows improving revenue stability and recent financing t...
JPMorgan: Best-in-Group Financial Play Ahead of Q4 - Tactical Long Setup
Quality franchise, rising top line, steady capital returns - buy ahead of Q4 with defined risk limits
JPMorgan’s scale and diversified revenue mix make it my top pick in financials heading into Q4 earnings. Recent quarters show revenue momentum (Q3 2...
Indie Semiconductor: Loaded For The Next ADAS Inflection
Small-cap autotech chipmaker with steady revenue, heavy R&D and elevated leverage - actionable swing trade with defined risk.
Indie Semiconductor (INDI) is a small-cap auto semiconductor and software play showing steady quarterly revenue (~$52–54M) and meaningful gross marg...
Meta Pullback: A Tactical Long With Asymmetric Upside
Core ad strength + one-off tax noise created a buying window — treat it as a swing trade with tight risk control.
Meta's share price has pulled back into the mid-$600s after a quarter that showed strong operating profit but a headline hit from large tax items. The...
Buy the SMCI Dip: AI Demand Can Re-lever Margins — Tactical Long with Defined Risk
Inventory build and short-term margin noise worry the market; I see optionality from accelerating AI datacenter orders and an attractive valuation setup.
Super Micro (SMCI) is trading like the market expects sustained margin erosion. The results show short-term margin pressure and a large inventory buil...
Regal Rexnord: Short-Term Headwinds, Structural Reset — A Tactical Long
Strong cash flow and steady margins justify a disciplined swing-long while investors digest cyclical noise
Regal Rexnord (RRX) is navigating near-term cyclical softness, but Q3 2025 results show durable margins, healthy operating cash flow (+$197.5M) and a ...