Trade Ideas
Actionable trade ideas with entry/stop/target and risk framing.
Lumen After the Rally - A 2026 Position Trade Backed by Cash Flow, AI Demand, and a Cleaner Balance Sheet
Palantir deal and enterprise focus set a foundation; trade the next leg with a clear entry, stop and targets.
Lumen Technologies rallied strongly in 2025 on AI-infrastructure partnerships and asset sales. The business now generates robust operating cash flow e...
Buy the AI TSMC Trade: Scale In on a Pullback, Target $358 on Fab-led Demand
Actionable trade: entry, stop, targets and risk framing for Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) as the AI infrastructure cycle accelerates
TSMC is the backbone of the global AI chip supply chain. With a dominant mid-60s foundry share, blue-chip customers and a growing dividend, the stock ...
Upgrade to Long on CVR Energy (CVI) - Q3 Strength, Dividend Safety and an Asymmetric Risk/Reward
Recent quarter, steady cash flow and a sensible dividend policy make CVI attractive from current levels; trade plan included.
CVR Energy reported a strong Q3 (fiscal Q3 2025) with $1.944B revenue, operating income of $512M and net income attributable to parent of $374M (EPS $...
ServiceNow: Buy the Dip — Business Momentum Intact, Market Overreacted to M&A Noise
Shares are cheap relative to the business run-rate after a post-acquisition swoon. Enter on weakness, stop tight, targets for a multi-leg swing trade.
ServiceNow reported another quarter of healthy top-line and margin expansion (Q3 FY25 revenues $3.41B, +21.8% YoY) while converting to strong operatin...
KLX Energy: A High-Risk, High-Reward Long — Backing a Turnaround as Onshore Activity Stabilizes
Operational cash flow recovery + Northeast focus, but heavy leverage keeps this a tactical trade
KLX Energy (KLXE) is cheap on headline price but carries meaningful balance-sheet risk. Recent quarters show improving operating cash flow and stabili...
Graphic Packaging - Look Through the Noise: Cash Flow and the Big Picture Support a Tactical Long
Balance-sheet heavy but cash-generative — a disciplined entry and tight stop offer asymmetric upside.
Graphic Packaging (GPK) is a capital-intensive packaging leader that reported steady quarter-to-quarter revenues (~$2.19B) and positive operating cash...
CBRE: Balanced Exposure to Recovery With Defensive Cash Flow - a Position Trade
Buy the services leader around $164 for position exposure to CRE recovery, AUM growth and steady operating cash flow
CBRE combines market-leading scale in commercial real estate services with a growing fee-bearing investment management business and improving margins....
Cheaper Heavy Crude Could Pinch Marathon Petroleum - A Short Trade Setup
Supply shocks to heavy sour barrels and a shift in differentials are an underpriced risk for MPC
Marathon Petroleum (MPC) is a high-complexity U.S. refiner with sizable renewable diesel capacity. The company looks operationally healthy on the late...
Positioning for Gen-3 Takeoff: Why BlackSky Could See Broader Gen-3 Adoption in 2026
A trade idea backing adoption-driven revenue inflection — entry, stops and targets included
BlackSky has moved from prototype launches to commercial deployments of its Gen-3 satellites and has already converted that capability into early cont...
Shutterstock: Take the Long Side — Cheap Cash Flow, Big Dividend and an Optionality-Rich Merger
Regulatory noise masks a tidy value setup - buy the stock for yield and optional upside if the Getty tie-up closes.
Shutterstock (SSTK) trades at an attractive price relative to book and generates strong operating cash flow. Shareholders approved a merger with Getty...
Buy the Dip in Upstart - Profitability and Lending Momentum Make 50s an Attractive Entry
Q3 2025 profitability, rising loan interest income, and a cash-rich balance sheet create a tactical long opportunity after the recent selloff.
Upstart (UPST) pulled back into the low $50s on 01/06/2026 after a multi-month run. Recent results show accelerating lending revenue and a return to G...
Alibaba: Buy the Dip — Play Instant Commerce and Cloud Re-acceleration
Entry 150-155, stop 138, targets 178 / 200 — look past margin noise and focus on structural growth pockets
Alibaba's equity has retraced from its post-recovery highs to the mid-150s, but underlying growth opportunities in instant commerce and cloud make a d...