February 10, 2026
Finance

American Express Expands NBA Partnership, Driving Stock Momentum

Enhanced multi-year deal includes WNBA, USA Basketball, and exclusive fan engagement programs

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Summary

American Express (NYSE:AXP) shares advanced as the company renewed and broadened its partnership with the NBA, incorporating new elements such as increased WNBA involvement and USA Basketball. This expanded collaboration introduces exclusive member benefits aligned with key basketball events, contributing to positive investor sentiment. The stock demonstrated technical strength amid a modestly mixed broader equity market, supported by recent solid quarterly revenue growth and favorable analyst outlooks.

Key Points

American Express expanded its partnership with the NBA to include increased WNBA investment and USA Basketball programs.
The company will be entitlement partner for NBA Tip-Off and NBA G League Tip-Off, enhancing brand presence.
Exclusive member benefits will be provided through a new NBA ID connected program, including events like NBA All-Star 2026.
Recent quarterly revenue rose 10% year-over-year, surpassing analyst estimates, driven by card member spending and card fees growth.

American Express Company, traded under the ticker NYSE:AXP, experienced an uptick in its stock value on Tuesday following an announcement concerning the deepening of its relationship with the National Basketball Association (NBA). This expanded agreement, extending over multiple years, broadens American Express's footprint within the professional basketball arena, which appears to resonate positively with market participants.

According to details of the updated partnership, American Express plans to amplify its investment in the Women’s National Basketball Association (WNBA) and include USA Basketball programs encompassing both the Men’s and Women’s National Teams. Additionally, the firm will serve as the entitlement partner for NBA Tip-Off and NBA G League Tip-Off events, a strategic positioning that enhances brand visibility and engagement opportunities among basketball enthusiasts.

A significant component of this agreement is the launch of a connected member program spearheaded by NBA ID, designed to offer exclusive perks to American Express cardholders and NBA ID members. This program will provide unique access to marquee events such as the NBA All-Star Game in 2026, granting participants special experiences and branded merchandise opportunities. Such initiatives are expected to foster deeper customer loyalty and potentially stimulate transaction volume growth.

From a market context, the S&P 500 index experienced a slight positive shift of 0.07% on the same day, whereas the Nasdaq Composite declined marginally by 0.03%. American Express’s stock performance aligns with an uptick in the Consumer Discretionary sector, which reported a 1.16% increase, suggesting that the company's stock moved cohesively with broad sector dynamics.

Financial results reinforce the company’s growth trajectory. In its recent release on January 30, American Express reported quarterly revenue, net of interest expense, of $18.98 billion, marking a 10% increase year-over-year. This figure notably exceeded consensus analyst estimates pegged at $18.92 billion. The revenue growth stemmed primarily from enhanced consumer spending on cards, an upturn in net interest income supported by increased revolving loan balances, and robust growth in card fees.

Looking ahead, American Express has projected its full-year revenue to fall between $78.73 billion and $79.45 billion, reflecting a 9% to 10% year-over-year rise. This forecast slightly surpasses the analyst consensus of $78.62 billion. The company expects earnings per share (EPS) within the range of $17.30 to $17.90, compared with the consensus EPS estimate of $17.41.

From a technical perspective, American Express shares are trading 2.2% above their 20-day simple moving average and 2.4% above their 100-day simple moving average, indicating sustained strength over different timeframes. Over the past twelve months, the stock has appreciated by approximately 18%, trending closer to its 52-week highs. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently sits at 48.86, placing the share price in neutral territory without significant overbought or oversold signals. Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator remains above its signal line, suggesting ongoing bullish momentum. Together, these indicators present a picture of mixed yet generally positive momentum within the stock’s technical landscape, with key resistance and support levels identified at $370 and $350.50 respectively.

Analyst coverage reflects a cautiously optimistic stance. Evercore ISI Group’s John Pancari maintains an In-Line rating on American Express but has adjusted his price target downward slightly from $400 to $393. Other recent analyst recommendations include Truist Securities retaining a Buy rating while lowering its target to $400, and JPMorgan establishing a Neutral rating with a target of $375. On average, analyst consensus positions the stock with a Hold rating and a mean price target of $340.80, underscoring a view that current valuations are fairly balanced relative to expectations.

Supporting this assessment, valuation metrics reveal a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 23.4 times, which is indicative of a reasonable valuation level reflecting anticipated growth. Market intelligence from Benzinga Edge provides additional insights, with American Express scoring 77.04 on quality, indicative of robust fundamentals and sound business operations. Its momentum rating is 69.4, reflective of positive but not exceptionally strong price trends.

At the time of reporting, American Express shares were trading at $367.27, up 2.12% for the session. The company is set to deliver its next quarterly earnings update on April 16, 2026, where expectations include an EPS estimate of $3.99, up from $3.64 year-over-year, and a revenue estimate of $18.62 billion, higher than the prior year figure of $16.97 billion.

The augmentation of American Express’s partnership with the NBA is a strategic move intended to reinforce the company’s engagement with a key demographic while enhancing brand visibility through association with prominent basketball events. The addition of unique membership privileges linked to NBA ID seeks to solidify customer loyalty, which could translate into increased card usage and revenue streams.

Ultimately, American Express’s recent stock performance, combined with encouraging earnings results and a reinforced marketing alliance within the sports sector, paints a picture of a company leveraging brand partnerships and operational growth to align with its growth objectives in the Consumer Discretionary space.

Risks
  • Analyst price targets have been lowered slightly, indicating some caution on valuation and growth potential.
  • Momentum indicators suggest mixed buying sentiment, implying potential short-term volatility.
  • The stock faces resistance around $370, which could limit near-term upside.
  • Full-year EPS and revenue forecasts are slightly above consensus but still subject to market and operational risks.
Disclosure
Education only / not financial advice
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