January 26, 2026
Finance

Applied Digital Shares Surge Amid Market Gains and Expansion Prospects

Strength in broader technology markets supports upward momentum for APLD as the company advances its AI infrastructure initiatives

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Summary

Applied Digital Corp. (NASDAQ:APLD) experienced a notable increase in its stock price on Monday, propelled by positive trends across key market indices and confidence in the company’s growing AI-focused operations. The stock's rise aligns with gains in the technology sector and follows significant corporate developments, including the commencement of construction on a substantial AI data center campus. Technical indicators reflect strong bullish momentum, and analyst sentiment remains positive despite upcoming earnings uncertainties.

Key Points

Applied Digital shares increased by approximately 5.85% on Monday, outperforming broader technology sector gains.
The company's 12-month stock performance shows a remarkable 504.79% rise, reflecting significant growth
Applied Digital initiated construction on Delta Forge 1, a 430 MW AI data center campus optimized for hyperscale AI workloads.
Technical indicators reveal strong bullish momentum, with the stock trading well above key moving averages and a neutral RSI suggesting no overbought conditions.

Applied Digital Corporation, trading on the Nasdaq under ticker APLD, saw its shares climb on Monday, reflecting a strong positive trajectory aligned with favorable movements in the broader stock market. This rise corresponds with widespread gains observed in major U.S. market benchmarks, including the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite, which bolstered optimism among investors especially within the technology sector.

On the trading day, Applied Digital’s stock price ascended to roughly $39.90, representing an increase of 5.85% from the previous close. This advance occurred against a backdrop where the technology sector registered a moderate gain of 0.69%, situating APLD’s performance as notably robust relative to the segment. Over the past twelve months, the company’s shares have recorded an impressive appreciation exceeding 500%, underscoring sustained investor enthusiasm about its business prospects and strategic positioning in the fast-evolving AI infrastructure arena.

A pivotal development supporting this growth narrative is Applied Digital’s announcement on January 22 about breaking ground for Delta Forge 1, a new 430-megawatt AI Factory campus slated for the southern United States. This substantial facility is designed to accommodate critical IT loads up to 300 megawatts and is purpose-built to handle the demanding high-density power and cooling requirements characteristic of hyperscale AI workloads, a sector gaining immense prominence.

Technical market analysis paints a picture of strength for Applied Digital shares. Currently, the stock is trading approximately 25% above its 20-day simple moving average (SMA) and over 40% above its 100-day SMA. These metrics suggest both short-term and long-term upward momentum. Further confirming this positive trend, the stock is positioned closer to its 52-week peak rather than the low, indicating sustained bullish strength.

Looking at momentum indicators, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 63.32, which lies within a neutral range, suggesting the stock is not experiencing overbought conditions that often precede reversals. Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is positioned above its signal line, highlighting a continuing bullish momentum. This combination suggests a market environment where investors are optimistic but should remain cautious of potential fluctuations.

Investors and analysts are turning their attention to Applied Digital’s forthcoming quarterly earnings report, anticipated on April 13. Current consensus forecasts predict an earnings per share (EPS) loss of 17 cents, a larger deficit compared to a loss of 8 cents in the same period last year. Revenue expectations point toward an increase to approximately $77.08 million, up from $52.92 million year-over-year. These projections indicate a revenue growth trajectory but alongside increasing losses, reflecting ongoing investment in infrastructure and growth initiatives.

Market research firms and financial analysts have maintained a positive stance on Applied Digital’s stock, combining its growth prospects with market momentum. The average analyst price target is currently set at $29.88. Notable recent ratings upgrades include B. Riley Securities raising its target to $53.00 as of January 9, Roth Capital increasing its target to $58.00 on January 8, and Needham maintaining a buy rating with a target price of $41.00, also as of January 8.

From a quantitative scoring perspective, Applied Digital exhibits strong momentum characteristics with a Benzinga Edge momentum score of 99.16, signaling outperformance relative to the broader market. This score reflects significant recent strength in price action and market sentiment.

On the price action front Monday, Applied Digital's shares were last recorded at $39.75, up 5.47% during ongoing trading sessions, consistent with the earlier noted gains. Such performance underscores active investor interest and confidence coinciding with the company’s expanding footprint in digital infrastructure geared towards artificial intelligence workloads.

In summary, Applied Digital’s stock appreciation on Monday was fueled by favorable market conditions, a compelling long-term growth trajectory, and strategic expansion into AI-centric data center capacity. While technical indicators reflect bullish momentum, neutral RSI readings and upcoming earnings with projected losses reiterate the need for careful consideration of potential risks.

Risks
  • The upcoming earnings report projects an EPS loss of 17 cents, greater than the prior year's 8-cent loss, indicating ongoing profitability challenges.
  • Despite positive momentum, the neutral RSI and mixed momentum indicators warn of possible price volatility or pullbacks.
  • Analyst price targets show a wide range, and the current market price is above these targets, which could suggest valuation risk.
  • Investment in large-scale infrastructure projects like Delta Forge 1 involves execution risks and significant capital expenditure commitments.
Disclosure
Education only / not financial advice
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