January 26, 2026
Finance

First Citizens BancShares Posts Strong Q4 Results Despite Analyst Price Target Cuts

Robust quarterly earnings and loan growth underscore a stable outlook amid analyst revisions

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Summary

First Citizens BancShares Inc delivered solid fourth-quarter financial results, surpassing earnings and revenue expectations. The bank's leadership highlighted stable credit quality and robust loan growth, while strengthening capital positions. Despite these positive operational outcomes, several equity analysts have lowered their price targets, maintaining cautious ratings on the stock.

Key Points

First Citizens BancShares surpassed Q4 earnings and revenue estimates.
Credit quality was stable, supported by strong loan growth in Global Fund Banking.
Returned $900 million to shareholders through repurchases and prepaid $2.5 billion of debt.
Multiple analysts lowered price targets but kept current stock ratings.

First Citizens BancShares Inc (NASDAQ:FCNCA) announced its earnings results for the fourth quarter, reporting strong financial performance that surpassed analyst expectations. The company recorded quarterly earnings of $51.27 per share, exceeding the consensus estimate of $43.91 per share. Additionally, quarterly revenue reached $2.435 billion, outperforming the anticipated $2.289 billion.

Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Frank B. Holding, Jr., commented on the results, stating, “We delivered solid return metrics in the fourth quarter while credit quality remained stable and we achieved strong loan growth, led by Global Fund Banking.” He further noted the company’s capital management activities, which included returning an additional $900 million of capital to shareholders through share repurchases and prepaying $2.5 billion of the Purchase Money Note during the quarter. He emphasized that the company’s capital and liquidity positions remain robust and expressed optimism about the prospects for the year 2026.

Following the announcement, shares of First Citizens BancShares showed a modest increase, rising 0.1% to trade at $2,017.12 on the subsequent Monday.


Despite the encouraging financial results and management’s positive outlook, several analysts have adjusted their price targets downward while maintaining their respective ratings on the stock.

  • Barclays: Analyst Jason Goldberg kept an Equal-Weight rating on First Citizens BancShares but reduced the price target from $2,456 to $2,346.
  • Citigroup: Analyst Benjamin Gerlinger maintained a Neutral rating on the stock and cut the price target from $2,250 to $2,100.
  • TD Cowen: Analyst Steven Alexopoulos continued to assign a Buy rating but significantly lowered the price target from $2,600 to $2,500.

These revisions indicate a more cautious approach by institutional analysts despite the bank’s operational achievements during the quarter. The lowered price targets suggest adjusted expectations for the bank’s future growth or market valuation, although no specific reasons or financial concerns beyond the price target updates were detailed.


The stock’s current performance reflects market sentiments following the earnings release, and while the company’s fundamentals appear solid with strong loan growth and loan book quality stability, investors may weigh the analysts’ adjustments cautiously in their investment decisions.


Key Points:

  • First Citizens BancShares exceeded analyst expectations for Q4 earnings and revenue.
  • Credit quality remained stable with notable loan growth driven primarily by Global Fund Banking.
  • The company returned significant capital to shareholders via $900 million in share repurchases and prepaid $2.5 billion on debt obligations.
  • Several analysts lowered price targets for the stock while maintaining their current ratings.

Risks and Uncertainties:

  • The lowered price targets by multiple analysts may reflect concerns about future valuation or earnings potential not detailed in the company’s report.
  • Market reaction to modest share price movement indicates cautious investor sentiment despite strong quarterly results.
  • Potential challenges in sustaining loan growth and credit quality stability beyond the current quarter could affect future performance.
  • Changes in capital deployment strategy or economic conditions could impact shareholder returns and liquidity positions.
Risks
  • Analyst price target reductions imply concerns on future valuation or earnings.
  • Modest share price movement suggests cautious investor sentiment.
  • Uncertainty in sustaining loan growth and stable credit quality.
  • Potential impact of capital deployment and liquidity changes on financial health.
Disclosure
Education only / not financial advice
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Ticker Sentiment
FCNCA - neutral
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