January 30, 2026
Finance

Honeywell Revises Outlook Upwards Following Q4 Earnings Report

The industrial conglomerate's stronger adjusted earnings and backlog bolster confidence despite revenue shortfall

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Summary

Honeywell International released its fourth-quarter 2025 financial results with adjusted earnings per share slightly above expectations but revenue falling short. The company updated its fiscal 2026 guidance, projecting adjusted earnings and sales slightly above some analyst forecasts. Executives also detailed strategic progress towards segment separation and leadership appointments, prompting several analysts to raise their price targets.

Key Points

Fourth-quarter adjusted EPS exceeded estimates at $2.59 vs. $2.54 expected.
Revenue increased 6% year over year but fell short of analyst projections.
Fiscal 2026 guidance shows adjusted EPS and sales slightly above consensus.
Record backlog over $37 billion supports future growth prospects.

Honeywell International Inc. (NASDAQ:HON) disclosed its financial performance for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025, revealing a mixed set of results as it balances earnings beats against revenue shortfalls. The company reported adjusted earnings of $2.59 per share, narrowly exceeding analyst consensus estimates of $2.54. However, revenue for the quarter amounted to $9.76 billion, representing a 6% increase year over year but falling short of the $9.85 billion expected by market analysts.

Looking ahead, Honeywell provided guidance for fiscal 2026, forecasting adjusted earnings per share (EPS) in the range of $10.35 to $10.65. This guidance slightly surpasses the average analyst estimate of $10.38. Revenue projections for the full year span $38.8 billion to $39.8 billion, modestly bracketing the consensus figure of $39.62 billion.

Focusing on the immediate upcoming quarter, the company anticipates adjusted EPS between $2.25 and $2.35, marginally overlapping with the street consensus of $2.34. Revenue estimates for the first quarter target a range from $9.1 billion to $9.4 billion, closely aligning with the $9.29 billion forecasted by analysts.

Vimal Kapur, who serves as Honeywell’s chairman and CEO, highlighted operational milestones during a statement accompanying the earnings release. He noted that the firm's backlog grew to a record exceeding $37 billion by the close of 2025, a significant foundation setting a promising trajectory for the coming year. Mr. Kapur added that the separation of the automation and aerospace segments is now expected to conclude in the third quarter of 2026, a timeline update that reflects ongoing organizational preparations.

He further detailed that in anticipation of this corporate restructuring, Honeywell established a forward-looking segment architecture. This new structure leverages complementary business models intended to enhance cross-portfolio synergies while driving sustained profitable growth. Leadership for the Honeywell Aerospace division was also announced this quarter, aligning with the broader strategic reorganization.

In the public markets, Honeywell’s stock exhibited a modest increase, trading at $227.37 on Friday, which represented a 0.1% gain from previous prices.

The company’s quarterly report has prompted several equity analysts to update their price targets, reflecting the new financials and outlook. Joseph O’Dea, an analyst at Wells Fargo, retained an Equal-Weight rating on Honeywell but raised his price target from $215 to $235, signaling increased confidence in the company's valuation potential.

Similarly, Julian Mitchell of Barclays maintained an Overweight rating on the stock and boosted his price target from $250 to $259. Deane Dray from RBC Capital echoed this trend, keeping an Outperform rating while increasing his price target from $249 to $268. These consensus analyst actions imply expectations for upward share performance as Honeywell continues executing its strategic plans.

Honeywell’s stock currently trades near $227, reflecting investor sentiment that may incorporate both the positive earnings surprise and somewhat subdued revenue results. Market watchers will likely keep a close eye on the company’s progress in segment separation and its ability to capitalize on its sizable backlog.


Key Points:

  • Honeywell reported adjusted EPS of $2.59 in Q4 2025, surpassing analyst projections of $2.54.
  • Quarterly revenue grew 6% year-over-year to $9.76 billion but missed the forecast of $9.85 billion.
  • The company projects FY2026 adjusted EPS between $10.35 and $10.65, slightly above consensus estimates.
  • A record backlog exceeding $37 billion and segment restructuring plans position Honeywell for growth in 2026.

Risks and Uncertainties:

  • Revenue in Q4 came in below expectations, indicating potential demand fluctuations or execution challenges.
  • The ongoing separation of automation and aerospace units involves operational risks and integration complexities.
  • Guidance for revenue and earnings, though optimistic, remains subject to market and macroeconomic variability.
Risks
  • Quarterly revenue missed analyst expectations, posing demand risks.
  • Complexity and timing of automation and aerospace segment separation may impact operational stability.
  • Guidance subject to market and economic variability impacting actual results.
Disclosure
Education only / not financial advice
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