January 13, 2026
Finance

JPMorgan Chase Reports Modest Earnings Decline Amid Resilient U.S. Economic Conditions

Strong Q4 2025 Financial Results Highlight Consumer Spending and Strategic Growth Initiatives

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Summary

JPMorgan Chase & Co. launched the 2025 earnings season with a solid fourth-quarter performance, reporting a net income of $13 billion despite a 7% decline year-over-year. Adjusted earnings per share surpassed analyst expectations, driven by diversified growth across business segments, notable increases in asset management fees, and expanding credit card accounts. Chairman Jamie Dimon emphasized the robust state of the U.S. economy and the bank's strategic capital investments, including its new role as issuer of the Apple Card.

Key Points

JPMorgan’s Q4 2025 net income declined 7% year-over-year to $13 billion, but adjusted EPS beat analyst estimates due to strategic reserves related to the Apple credit card portfolio.
Net revenue exceeded expectations at $46.8 billion, driven by growth in net interest income, asset management fees, and payment-related revenues.
The U.S. economy remains resilient with steady consumer spending and healthy business conditions, as noted by CEO Jamie Dimon.
Strong balance sheet metrics maintained, including CET1 ratios above 14%, robust liquidity, and consistent capital return to shareholders through dividends and buybacks.

JPMorgan Chase & Co. began the 2025 earnings cycle by unveiling its financial results for the fourth quarter on Tuesday, revealing a net income of $13 billion, which represents a 7% decrease compared with the prior year period. Despite this reduction, adjusted earnings per share stood at $5.23, exceeding analyst projections of $4.92 by $0.31. This variance notably included a $2.2 billion credit reserve allocated in connection with the forward purchase commitment for the Apple credit card portfolio.

The bank reported managed net revenue of $46.8 billion, surpassing the anticipated $46.02 billion. Net interest income, excluding market-related revenues, reached $23.9 billion, reflecting a 4% increase year-over-year driven primarily by growth in deposit balances and enhanced revolving balances within Card Services, although somewhat moderated by reduced interest rate levels.

On top of this, noninterest revenue, excluding market revenues, climbed 7% year-over-year to $14.7 billion. This uplift was powered by higher fees stemming from asset management activities within Asset & Wealth Management (AWM) and Consumer & Community Banking (CCB), increased income from auto operating leases, as well as elevated payments processing fees. Revenues from market operations grew notably by 17% year-over-year, totaling $8.2 billion.

Fiscal year 2025 concluded with the bank achieving a return on equity (ROE) of 17% and a return on tangible common equity (ROTCE) of 20%, while the fourth quarter itself delivered respective returns of 15% and 18%. JPMorgan’s liquidity position remained robust with cash and marketable securities amounting to $1.5 trillion. Loans averaged an increase of 9% year-over-year and 3% sequentially, as average deposits grew 6% year-over-year and 2% sequentially.

The provision for credit losses for the quarter came to $4.7 billion. Net charge-offs totaled $2.5 billion, representing an increase of $150 million dominated by Wholesale credit losses. The net reserve build amounted to $2.1 billion, substantially influenced by the $2.2 billion reserve associated with the forward purchase commitment of the Apple credit card portfolio.

Chairman and CEO Jamie Dimon emphasized the strong performance across all lines of business. He highlighted the bank’s expansion in consumer accounts during 2025, with 1.7 million new checking accounts and 10.4 million new credit card accounts opened. The bank also grew its wealth management client base to over 3 million households. Dimon expressed enthusiasm about the bank’s forthcoming role as issuer of the Apple Card, viewing the initiative as a strategic and patient capital deployment.

In the Asset & Wealth Management segment, revenue rose 13% in the fourth quarter to a record $6.5 billion, bolstered by net inflows totaling $553 billion for the year, which propelled total client assets beyond $7 trillion. Dimon expressed optimism about U.S. economic resilience, noting that while labor markets have softened slightly, economic conditions have not deteriorated. Consumer spending remains steady, and overall business health appears sound. He suggested these favorable conditions could continue, supported by fiscal stimulus, deregulation, and monetary policies enacted by the Federal Reserve.

Regarding the firm's financial strength and liquidity, the Common Equity Tier 1 capital ratio ended the quarter at 14.5% per the Standardized approach and 14.1% per the Advanced approach. The bank maintained total loss-absorbing capacity at $564 billion, standardized risk-weighted assets were $2.0 trillion, and the supplementary leverage ratio held at 5.8%. Additionally, book value per share climbed 9% year-over-year to $126.99, while tangible book value per share rose 11% to $107.56.

Within the bank’s segments, Consumer & Community Banking (CCB) experienced a 19% decline in net income to $3.6 billion despite a 6% rise in revenue to $19.4 billion year-over-year. Card Services and Auto revenue increased 5% to $7.3 billion, with gains driven by heightened net interest income from larger revolving card balances and increased auto operating lease income. Debit and credit card sales volumes advanced 7%, alongside a 7% increase in active mobile banking customers.

The Commercial & Investment Bank (CIB) recorded net income growth of 10% to $7.3 billion, with revenue also rising 10% to $19.4 billion year-over-year. Markets and Securities Services led revenue growth by 17%, totaling $9.7 billion. Fixed income market revenues grew 7%, while equity markets surged by 40%. Despite these gains, investment banking fees declined by 5% to $2.3 billion, even as JPMorgan retained its position as the global market leader, capturing an 8.4% wallet share.

Asset & Wealth Management reported a 19% increase in net income to $1.8 billion, with revenue expanding 13% to $6.5 billion. Assets under management grew 18% year-over-year to $4.8 trillion, and total client assets increased 20% to $7.1 trillion. Returning capital to shareholders remained a priority, with the firm distributing $4.1 billion in common dividends ($1.50 per share) and repurchasing $7.9 billion in shares.

Looking forward, JPMorgan projects net interest income for fiscal 2026 to be approximately $103 billion, with net interest income excluding markets forecasted at around $95 billion. The bank anticipates the Card Services net charge-off rate to be near 3.4% for 2026. As of premarket trading on Tuesday, JPMorgan Chase shares rose 0.29% to $325.43, approaching a 52-week high of $337.25.

Risks
  • Credit costs increased with wholesale loan net charge-offs rising $150 million year-over-year, reflecting potential pressure in that segment.
  • Investment banking fees declined 5% compared to the prior year, which may signal challenges in that area.
  • Labor markets have shown signs of softening which could potentially impact consumer spending and credit performance.
  • Forward purchase commitment related to the Apple credit card portfolio required a significant $2.2 billion reserve, indicating exposure to evolving credit risk.
Disclosure
Education only / not financial advice
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