January 22, 2026
Finance

Mobileye Global’s Stock Declines Despite Surpassing Revenue Expectations in Q4 2025

Intel Spinoff Faces Challenges Amid Industry Headwinds as Sales and Margins Contract

Summary

Shares of Mobileye Global Inc. slid on Thursday following the release of its fiscal fourth-quarter 2025 results, which revealed a 9% drop in revenue year-over-year to $446 million. Although the company exceeded analyst revenue estimates and matched earnings per share predictions, declining volumes, margin compression, and broader automotive sector uncertainties weighed on investor sentiment. The company's cautious outlook for 2026 reflects ongoing supply-demand imbalances, tariff impacts, and shifting competitive dynamics in the electric vehicle market.

Key Points

Mobileye reported fiscal Q4 2025 revenue of $446 million, a 9% year-over-year decline but surpassing analyst expectations of about $432 million.
The company experienced an 11% drop in EyeQ chip volumes due to supply-demand imbalances, leading to tightened inventory at Tier 1 customers.
Gross margins and adjusted operating margins declined significantly, reflecting pricing pressures and challenging operating conditions.
Mobileye's CEO outlined a strategic focus on both autonomous vehicles and humanoid robotics, aiming for growth in cost-effective driver-assist systems and commercial robotaxi technology.

Mobileye Global Inc., the autonomous driving technology firm spun off from Intel Corp., saw its stock decline on Thursday in response to its fiscal fourth-quarter 2025 financial results. The company reported revenue of $446 million for the quarter, which represents a 9% decrease compared to the same period a year earlier. Despite this decline, the figure surpassed the consensus analyst forecast of approximately $432.3 million.

One notable factor contributing to the revenue contraction was an 11% drop in the shipment volumes of the company’s EyeQ chips during the quarter, attributed to imbalances between supply and demand. This mismatch resulted in inventory levels at Mobileye’s Tier 1 automotive customers tightening more than usual as 2025 concluded.

Mobileye’s adjusted earnings per share (EPS) stood at 6 cents, aligning with market expectations. Revenue generated specifically from EyeQ chips and the SuperVision system amounted to $420 million, a decline from $464 million recorded in the prior year. The average system price for products increased modestly to $50.8, up from $50.0 one year earlier, although the total number of systems shipped dropped to 8.3 million units from 9.3 million.

Gross margins experienced notable erosion, with the overall gross margin contracting by 389 basis points to 45%, signaling increased pricing pressures within the business environment. Adjusted gross margin also declined by 176 basis points, settling at 67%. Operating margins followed this negative trend; adjusted operating margin dropped sharply to 9% from 21% in the preceding year. On a positive note, Mobileye maintained a robust liquidity position, holding $1.84 billion in cash and equivalents as of December 27, and generating $113 million in operating cash flow during the quarter.

In discussing the company’s strategic direction, CEO Professor Amnon Shashua emphasized Mobileye’s ambition to lead in the emerging Physical AI domain. This encompasses autonomous vehicle technologies and extends to humanoid robotics. He underscored the company’s automotive roadmap, which is tailored to capitalize on the increasing demand for cost-efficient, single-ECU hands-free driver-assist systems suitable for high-volume car models. Additionally, Mobileye aims to position its self-driving offerings as key enablers for commercial robotaxi deployments.

Looking ahead, the company projects its revenue for fiscal year 2026 to range between $1.90 billion and $1.98 billion, slightly above the corresponding analyst consensus estimate of $1.881 billion. Adjusted operating income guidance stands between $170 million and $220 million for the year.

Despite these plans, Mobileye acknowledges ongoing uncertainty in the demand for its assisted-driving semiconductor products. This ambiguity arises as automotive manufacturers navigate a complex environment shaped by escalating tariffs, intensifying market competition, and evolving supply chains.

Specifically, U.S. tariff measures on imported vehicles and automotive parts have unsettled the global automotive landscape. These duties have compelled manufacturers to revisit and reconfigure their supply chain strategies, while also tempering previously aggressive sales forecasts.

In parallel, North American automakers appear to be moderating their earlier strong commitments toward all-electric vehicle programs. This retrenchment is influenced by several factors including heightened competition from Chinese automotive firms, diminished access to government tax incentives, and a consumer preference shift towards more affordable vehicles and hybrid models.

From a market perspective, Mobileye shares traded down nearly 5% in premarket sessions on Thursday, reaching $10.34 per share. The stock hovered near its 52-week low of $10.03, reflecting investor concerns despite the company’s slight outperformance on revenue projections. Market data provider Benzinga Pro highlighted these price movements amid ongoing sector volatility.

Risks
  • Uncertain demand for assisted-driving chips amid difficult industry conditions and market competition.
  • Negative impacts from U.S. tariffs on imported vehicles and parts disrupting supply chains and forecasts.
  • Automakers in North America scaling back electric vehicle commitments due to competitive pressures and changes in consumer preferences.
Disclosure
Education only / not financial advice
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