February 5, 2026
Finance

Nio Projects First Quarterly Profit, Marking Rebound in Electric Vehicle Market

Chinese EV Manufacturer Foresees Significant Operational Gains in Q4 2025, Supported by Robust Vehicle Deliveries

Summary

Nio Inc., a prominent competitor in the electric vehicle sector, anticipates achieving its inaugural quarterly profitability in Q4 2025 after enduring substantial operational losses the previous year. The company attributes this turnaround to increased vehicle deliveries and continued investments in advanced EV technology and infrastructure.

Key Points

Nio anticipates adjusted operational profits between 700 million and 1.2 billion Chinese yuan in Q4 2025, reversing last year’s significant losses.
The company reported a 96.1% year-over-year increase in vehicle deliveries in January 2026, totaling over 27,000 units, led by the third-generation ES8 SUV.
Nio surpassed the milestone of 1 million cumulative vehicle deliveries, indicating enhanced market penetration and customer acceptance.
The firm is advancing smart EV technologies and expanding its battery swapping and charging network to support future growth amidst competitive pressures.

Chinese electric vehicle manufacturer Nio Inc. (NYSE:NIO) experienced a substantial increase in its stock price following the announcement of a favorable profit outlook for the fourth quarter of 2025. This prospective financial performance indicates a notable recovery from the operational setbacks faced by the company in the previous year, signaling positive momentum in its business trajectory.

During the fourth quarter of 2025, Nio expects to report an adjusted profit from operations ranging between 700 million and 1.2 billion Chinese yuan (approximately $100 million to $172 million). This forecast is a remarkable shift from the adjusted loss from operations of 5.54 billion Chinese yuan recorded in the fourth quarter of 2024, underscoring a significant improvement in the company’s operational efficiency and profitability.

Moreover, Nio anticipates an operational profit specifically between 200 million and 700 million Chinese yuan (roughly $29 million to $100 million) for the same quarter, further reinforcing the positive outlook on its financial health. The company is in the process of preparing and finalizing its financial statements for both the quarter and the full fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, to provide a comprehensive overview of its performance during this period.

Contributing to these optimistic projections, Nio reported robust vehicle delivery figures for January, achieving a 96.1% year-over-year increase to a total of 27,182 vehicles. The surge was predominantly driven by the third-generation ES8 SUV, which accounted for nearly two-thirds of the vehicle deliveries during the month. This milestone also helped the company surpass 1 million cumulative deliveries, signaling expanding market acceptance of its products.

In line with its growth strategy, Nio continues to invest heavily in smart electric vehicle technologies. Notably, the company unveiled an upgraded version of its NIO WorldModel in January 2026, designed to enhance capabilities in assisted driving, smart parking, and safety features. These technological advancements represent the firm's commitment to maintaining a competitive edge in the rapidly evolving EV market.

Complementing these product innovations, Nio is actively expanding its battery swapping and charging network infrastructure. This strategic effort aims to support future growth by strengthening the company’s service ecosystem and customer convenience, thereby positioning Nio favorably relative to competitors such as Li Auto Inc. (NASDAQ:LI) and XPeng Inc. (NYSE:XPEV), both of which have recently reported declines in vehicle deliveries.

Market reaction to Nio’s announcements was notably positive, with shares increasing by 9.23% to $4.84 during premarket trading on Thursday, according to Benzinga Pro data. This uptick reflects investor confidence in the company’s turnaround prospects and underscores the significance of the upcoming financial report releases.

It remains essential to monitor the finalization of Nio's financial results for the fourth quarter and the full year of 2025 to substantiate the company’s preliminary profit forecasts. Additionally, the sustained ability to capitalize on delivery growth, technology upgrades, and infrastructure investments will be crucial factors influencing Nio's ongoing profitability and market positioning within the electric vehicle industry.

Risks
  • Final financial results for Q4 and full-year 2025 are pending, which may affect the profit outlook.
  • Competitors like Li Auto and XPeng have reported delivery declines, reflecting potential market challenges.
  • The company’s profitability hinges on sustained vehicle delivery growth and successful technology and infrastructure investments.
Disclosure
Education only / not financial advice
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