Under the new arrangement, Nvidia mandates that Chinese purchasers remit full payment upfront for any H200 chip orders. Additionally, customers must accept a comprehensive set of conditions that leave minimal room for negotiation or flexibility. Previously, Nvidia’s standard terms occasionally permitted partial deposits rather than complete upfront settlements. Reliable sources with direct knowledge of the altered policies disclosed these details to Reuters on Thursday.
There exist narrowly defined exceptions, wherein a small subset of buyers may leverage commercial insurance mechanisms or pledge asset collateral as alternatives to immediate cash payment. These specialized provisions, though sparse, slightly deviate from the predominant cash-in-advance policy but continue to emphasize customer assumption of regulatory risk.
Analysts interpret this structural change as Nvidia’s strategy to transfer the inherent regulatory compliance and geopolitical uncertainties effectively onto the shoulders of Chinese buyers. By requiring full payment upfront and stringent acceptance terms, Nvidia reduces its direct exposure to the risk of potential changes in export controls or import approvals by relevant authorities.
On the regulatory front within China, officials are reportedly preparing to sanction selective imports of the H200 chips by the close of the current quarter. These approvals will target specific commercial applications, explicitly excluding military organizations, sensitive government sectors, critical infrastructure entities, and state-owned enterprises as beneficiaries. Bloomberg reported the developments on Thursday, citing individuals familiar with ongoing government deliberations.
This approval framework echoes prior Chinese import restriction models imposed on particular foreign technology products, reflecting a pattern of measured, conditional access determined by sectoral sensitivity and state interest.
Furthermore, Chinese regulators have directed certain domestic technology companies to temporarily halt their H200 chip procurements. Simultaneously, there is internal discussion among officials over imposing quota requirements, mandating that buyers acquire a stipulated number of domestically developed chips for each imported Nvidia unit, aiming to promote indigenous technology alongside foreign imports.
The demand dynamics for Nvidia’s H200 in China remain intense. Major cloud service providers and internet technology firms in the country regard the H200 chip as a substantial enhancement over the older H20 generation, which is currently unavailable within China due to export limitations.
Nvidia’s leadership has publicly acknowledged the robust demand environment and conveyed that the company has escalated supply chain output to meet increased orders. Nonetheless, Nvidia management has also noted a lack of clarity regarding the timeline for Chinese government import licenses and approvals.
On the production side, Nvidia is navigating capacity challenges, partly attributable to its transition from the Blackwell platform toward the forthcoming Rubin chip generation. Concurrently, Nvidia competes for manufacturing slots at Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC), a critical contract fabrication partner.
Nvidia reached a significant milestone in October by becoming the first publicly traded company to surpass a market capitalization of $4.5 trillion, underlining the company’s expansive market prominence and investor confidence.
In premarket trading on Thursday, Nvidia shares demonstrated minor positive movement, rising 0.33% to $189.74 according to Benzinga Pro data.
Key Points:
- Nvidia now requires full upfront payment and strict terms for all H200 AI chip sales into China, deviating from earlier, more flexible deposit arrangements.
- Chinese regulators are poised to approve limited H200 imports for specific commercial sectors, while restricting military, government, infrastructure, and state-owned enterprise usage.
- Demand from Chinese cloud and internet companies is strong due to perceived performance improvements over previously blocked H20 chips.
- Nvidia is managing supply constraints amid technology platform transition and competition for manufacturing capacity at TSMC.
- Regulatory approval timing and conditions in China remain uncertain, potentially affecting shipment volumes and sales timing.
- Shifting U.S. and Chinese export control policies impose complex compliance and geopolitical risks on both Nvidia and its Chinese customers.
- Manufacturing capacity limitations at TSMC may restrict Nvidia’s ability to fully meet demand during platform transitions.
- Chinese policy requiring domestic chip purchases alongside foreign imports introduces procurement complexities for buyers.
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