Robinhood Markets, Inc. (NASDAQ: HOOD), the Menlo Park-based financial services firm, is scheduled to publish its earnings report for the fourth quarter after markets close on Tuesday, February 10. Market participants and industry watchers are preparing for the company’s financial disclosures, which are anticipated to offer insights into its recent operating performance amid fluctuating equity market conditions.
Current consensus estimates, aggregated from Benzinga Pro data, suggest that Robinhood will report earnings per share (EPS) of approximately 63 cents for Q4. This forecast indicates a decline from the 1.01 dollars per share Robinhood achieved in the corresponding quarter of the previous year. This downward EPS projection points toward earnings pressure despite potential top-line growth.
On the revenue front, analysts foresee that Robinhood's total revenues will reach around 1.34 billion dollars during the quarter, up from 1.01 billion dollars a year earlier. The projected increase in revenue underscores an expansion in operational scale or user engagement, possibly offsetting margin compression contributing to the EPS decline.
It is notable that Robinhood has a recent track record of exceeding both earnings per share and revenue expectations, having outperformed analyst estimates in each of the last four quarters. This consistent overachievement has previously bolstered investor confidence and influenced share price movements positively.
Reflective of market optimism ahead of the earnings release, Robinhood’s shares advanced by 4.5 percent on the trading session preceding the report, closing at 86.56 dollars per share, signaling investors’ anticipation of a constructive earnings outcome or positive forward guidance.
Analyst Revisions Ahead of Earnings
In the days leading up to the earnings announcement, prominent equity analysts with strong prior forecasting accuracy have maintained or adjusted their ratings and price targets for the stock, reflecting mixed views on Robinhood's valuation and outlook.
- Ramsey El-Assal of Cantor Fitzgerald held firm on an Overweight rating, assigning a price target of 130 dollars as of February 9, 2026. This analyst brings a 60 percent accuracy rate in their predictions, indicating moderate reliability in assessment.
- Alex Markgraff, representing Keybanc, also sustained an Overweight rating but trimmed the price target sharply from 160 dollars to 130 dollars on February 9, 2026. Markgraff's forecasting accuracy rests at 68 percent, suggesting a relatively robust track record.
- David Smith at Truist Securities kept a Buy rating intact, albeit with a price target reduced from 155 dollars to 130 dollars as of February 6, 2026. Notably, Smith demonstrates an accuracy rate of 81 percent, underscoring a strong ability to gauge market outcomes correctly.
- John Todaro of Needham maintained a Buy rating, assigning a price target of 135 dollars dated January 28, 2026. This analyst enjoys an 84 percent accuracy rate, marking the highest reliability level among those cited here.
- Benjamin Budish from Barclays continued to endorse an Overweight rating. However, Budish reined in the price target from 171 dollars to 159 dollars on January 8, 2026. His forecasting track record is solid, with a 74 percent accuracy rate.
Summary of Market and Analyst Sentiments
The range of price targets currently predicted by these prominent analysts spans from 130 dollars to 159 dollars, indicative of broad confidence that Robinhood shares may appreciate beyond their current trading level. However, the downward adjustments in price targets by several professionals suggest caution regarding near-term growth prospects or profitability amid evolving market dynamics.
The persistent Overweight and Buy ratings across these analysts reinforce a generally positive stance toward Robinhood’s future performance, despite the anticipated EPS reduction in the upcoming reporting period. The divergence between rising revenue projections and declining EPS expectations highlights ongoing challenges related to cost management, competitive pressures, or other operational factors influencing profitability.
Key Points
- Robinhood is expected to report Q4 earnings of 63 cents per share, down from 1.01 dollars per share a year earlier, signaling a significant EPS contraction.
- Analysts project revenue growth to approximately 1.34 billion dollars for the quarter, up from 1.01 billion dollars, indicating increased business scale or activity.
- Robinhood has surpassed earnings and revenue estimates in each of the previous four quarters, reflecting a strong performance relative to market expectations.
- Several leading analysts have preserved Buy or Overweight ratings but have adjusted price targets downward, reflecting tempered optimism.
Risks and Uncertainties
- The expected decline in earnings per share despite incremental revenue growth points to potential margin pressures impacting profitability.
- Price target reductions amid stable ratings suggest caution about sustained earnings momentum or evolving competitive pressures within the financial services sector.
- Market reaction to the earnings report could be volatile, as investors weigh the significance of EPS contraction against top-line growth and forward guidance.
- Reliability of analyst forecasts varies, with accuracy rates ranging from 60 percent to 84 percent, implying inherent forecasting uncertainty.
As Robinhood prepares to announce its quarterly results, investors and market watchers will be scrutinizing not only reported earnings and revenue figures but also management commentary concerning operational challenges, strategic initiatives, and market conditions influencing the company’s trajectory.