Tom Lee, leading BitMine Immersion Technologies Inc (NASDAQ:BMNR), shared his outlook on the cryptocurrency market as it approaches 2026, describing a scenario of short-term volatility followed by renewed growth. In a December 30 interview during a CNBC Market Alert, Lee articulated that any near-term weakening in crypto should be viewed as an adjustment period rather than a reversal of the sector's overarching upward trajectory.
Lee highlighted data demonstrating that cryptocurrency adoption remains nascent. He pointed out that approximately 4 million Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) wallets currently hold amounts exceeding $10,000, a figure modest in comparison to the estimated 900 million global individual retirement accounts and brokerage accounts at a similar asset level. This disparity underscores the significant potential for expansion within the market.
While Lee acknowledged that factors such as concerns over quantum computing risks and recent deleveraging have negatively influenced market sentiment, he asserted that the fundamental aspects of cryptocurrency are solid as 2025 concludes. He contended that the prevailing apprehension is less about crypto's failure and more about whether the market has already factored in forthcoming profits, suggesting a climate of guarded optimism.
The CEO also drew parallels between cryptocurrency and artificial intelligence (AI), categorizing both as structurally robust investment themes with dominant growth potential. He described AI as currently being in a "bleeding-edge" stage characterized by rapid technological advances that outpace practical applications, which can often lead to investor disappointment prior to widespread adoption.
Looking forward, Lee anticipates that the first half of 2026 will feature a period of notable volatility. Specifically, he foresees a market correction in cryptocurrency values ranging between 10% and 15%, driven by investors capitalizing on gains and reevaluating asset valuations amid a complex policy backdrop. This policy environment includes potential influences from both Federal Reserve actions and White House decisions, which may reintroduce forms of market support often referred to as a "Fed put" and a "White House put."
Following this correction, Lee expects a pronounced recovery phase that will embody both a corrective adjustment and a resumption of bullish momentum in 2026. His overarching perspective suggests that skepticism within the market may paradoxically catalyze further upside, especially as cryptocurrency, AI, and traditional banking sectors edge toward significant transformative developments.
Complementing Lee's outlook, crypto trader DonAlt expressed a more cautious position, describing a wide range of potential Bitcoin outcomes for the new year. DonAlt outlined scenarios spanning a sharp rally toward $150,000 in a complete market turn, to a downside risk near $60,000 in a bearish environment. He noted a shift in his stance from bearish to neutral entering 2026, reflecting the uncertain but dynamic market landscape.