February 9, 2026
Finance

Upwork Reports Mixed Q4 Earnings, Shares Drop on Cautious Outlook

Despite Surpassing Revenue and Earnings Estimates, Upwork Shares Fall Sharply Following Soft 2026 Guidance

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Summary

Upwork Inc released its fourth-quarter 2025 financial results exceeding analyst revenue and earnings expectations. Nonetheless, the company’s cautious guidance for the first quarter of 2026 and modest full-year outlook have driven a significant decline in shares during after-hours trading. This report details the company's financial performance, operational highlights, and future projections.

Key Points

Upwork's Q4 2025 revenue of $198.41 million exceeded analyst estimates by nearly $1 million, reflecting 4% year-over-year growth.
Adjusted earnings per share in Q4 reached 36 cents, surpassing the forecasted 31 cents per share.
Active client count was reported at 785,000, with gross services volume per active client increasing 7% to $5,129.
The company's operational cash flow remained healthy, generating $63.7 million with $57.3 million free cash flow in the quarter.

Following the market close on Monday, Upwork Inc (NASDAQ: UPWK) disclosed its financial results for the fourth quarter of 2025. The company surpassed Wall Street forecasts in both revenue and adjusted earnings per share, yet its cautious outlook for the upcoming quarters weighed heavily on investor sentiment.

In the final quarter of 2025, Upwork reported revenue amounting to $198.41 million, slightly outpacing analyst projections which had anticipated $197.52 million. This figure represents a 4% increase compared to the same quarter in the previous year. The adjusted earnings per share reached 36 cents, also exceeding the estimated 31 cents per share forecast by analysts.

Active client count stood at 785,000 by the end of the quarter, reflecting the company’s substantial user base. Alongside this, the gross services volume per active client was $5,129, marking a 7% increase year-over-year, underscoring enhanced engagement or spending on the platform services.

Operational cash flow was robust, with Upwork generating $63.7 million in cash from operations, and free cash flow amounted to $57.3 million during the quarter. The company highlighted that 2025 was a pivotal year with strategic initiatives focused on reshaping the platform to leverage human-plus-artificial intelligence collaboration effectively.

Hayden Brown, Upwork’s president and CEO, remarked on the company’s transformation, stating, "2025 marked the year we rebuilt Upwork for the age of human-plus-AI collaboration, turning global change into a definitive tailwind, all while demonstrating strong financial performance. We enter 2026 as the leader of a new category, serving as the operational backbone for businesses navigating this new AI era of work." This emphasizes the company's strategic positioning amidst technological advancements.

During the quarter, Upwork repurchased approximately two million shares for $34 million. As of December 31, 2025, the company retained $64 million available in its buyback program. Additionally, liquidity remained strong with cash and cash equivalents totaling $294.36 million at quarter end.

Looking forward, Upwork presented a tempered revenue forecast for the first quarter of 2026. The company expects quarterly revenue to range between $192 million and $197 million, which falls short of the $200.83 million anticipated by market analysts. Furthermore, projected adjusted earnings per share are $0.26 to $0.28, below the consensus estimate of $0.34 per share.

For the full fiscal year 2026, Upwork anticipates revenue between $835 million and $850 million, marginally encompassing the analyst forecast of approximately $836.15 million. The estimated full-year adjusted earnings per share are expected between $1.43 and $1.48, slightly above the consensus estimate of $1.42.

The cautious tone in Upwork's initial quarter guidance appears to have negatively impacted its share price during extended trading hours. At the time of publication Monday evening, Upwork shares had declined approximately 22.35%, trading at $14.59, signaling market concerns over near-term growth prospects.

An earnings call with company executives was scheduled for 5 p.m. Eastern Time, offering investors and analysts further opportunities to understand the financial results and management's outlook.


Overall, Upwork's financial report outlined positive fourth-quarter performance through key operating metrics and cash flow generation. However, the more subdued guidance for early 2026 raises questions about growth momentum as the company navigates a technology-driven transformation and evolving market dynamics.

Risks
  • First-quarter 2026 revenue guidance is below market expectations, indicating potential near-term revenue challenges.
  • Projected adjusted earnings per share for Q1 2026 fall short of analyst estimates, suggesting margin pressure or slower profitability.
  • Despite a full-year revenue outlook close to forecasts, the lowered first-quarter guidance may signal caution regarding demand or operational hurdles.
  • Shares declined significantly after-hours, reflecting market concern about the company's growth trajectory and financial prospects.
Disclosure
Education only / not financial advice
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