2026 Grammy Awards Preview: Expert Analysis on Leading Nominees and Potential Winners
January 23, 2026
News & Politics

2026 Grammy Awards Preview: Expert Analysis on Leading Nominees and Potential Winners

An in-depth look at the frontrunners and competitive categories at the upcoming 68th Grammy Awards

Summary

The 68th Grammy Awards feature a competitive field led by Kendrick Lamar with nine nominations followed by Lady Gaga, Jack Antonoff, and Cirkut with seven each. Experts analyze the key categories such as Album of the Year, Record of the Year, Song of the Year, and more, discussing the potential winners based on artistry, cultural impact, and voter tendencies.

Key Points

Kendrick Lamar leads Grammy nominations with nine, followed by Lady Gaga, Jack Antonoff, and Cirkut with seven each, highlighting intense competition across categories.
Key categories such as Album of the Year and Record of the Year feature albums and songs that have sustained significant cultural impact and cross-genre appeal, notably Kendrick Lamar’s "GNX" and Rosé and Bruno Mars’ "APT.".
The Grammys are recognizing increased global and genre diversity, with possible historic wins for Spanish-language albums and K-pop artists reflecting evolving voter demographics and industry trends.

The 2026 Grammy Awards are shaping up to showcase intense competition among some of the most influential musical talents. Kendrick Lamar tops this year’s nominations with nine nods, closely followed by Lady Gaga, Jack Antonoff, and Canadian producer-songwriter Cirkut, each boasting seven nominations. Additional artists such as Sabrina Carpenter, Bad Bunny, Leon Thomas, and Serban Ghenea received six nominations apiece, highlighting the diverse range of contenders vying for prestigious honors.

Album of the Year

The contenders for Album of the Year include "Debí Tirar Más Fotos" by Bad Bunny; "Swag" from Justin Bieber; Sabrina Carpenter's "Man’s Best Friend"; the collaboration "Let God Sort Em Out" by Clipse, Pusha T, and Malice; Lady Gaga's "Mayhem"; Kendrick Lamar's "GNX"; Leon Thomas’ "Mutt"; and Tyler, the Creator's "Chromakopia."

Maria Sherman observes that while Lady Gaga's "Mayhem" is a commendable album, her anticipated victory may hinge more on her artistic narrative and impact rather than the album's comparative merits. She emphasizes Bad Bunny's "Debí Tirar Más Fotos" as a deserving contender, noting its historical significance as possibly the first Spanish-language album to win, supported by Bad Bunny's status as the most-streamed global artist on Spotify last year. Sherman also highlights Kendrick Lamar's "GNX" as worthy of the award but suggests that after his dominance in the previous year’s ceremony, voters’ recognition may be less forthcoming this time.

Jonathan Landrum Jr. appreciates the global representation among nominees and underscores that "GNX" exhibits a cross-cultural presence beyond just music charts, permeating sports and everyday culture. He cites tracks such as "luther," "Squabble Up," and "TV Off," which became part of everyday vernacular and sports celebrations. Landrum posits that Lamar's sustained engagement and cultural penetration may give "GNX" an advantage over its competitors.

Record of the Year

Nominated recordings include Bad Bunny’s "DtMF"; Sabrina Carpenter’s "Manchild"; Doechii’s "Anxiety"; Billie Eilish’s "Wildflower"; Lady Gaga’s "Abracadabra"; Kendrick Lamar with SZA on "luther"; Chappell Roan’s "The Subway"; and the collaboration between Rosé and Bruno Mars titled "APT."

Landrum asserts that "APT." stands out for its widespread accessibility and enduring popularity, attributing its crossover appeal to Bruno Mars’ production expertise and Rosé’s presence, which signifies the Recording Academy’s growing acceptance of global pop influences. He forecasts that a victory for "APT." would mark a historic first for a K-pop artist winning Record of the Year.

Sherman concurs on the song's ubiquity but suggests that from an award focus on performance and production, Lamar and SZA's "luther" might be a more fitting winner.

Song of the Year

The Song of the Year nominees include "Abracadabra" by Henry Walter, Lady Gaga, and Andrew Watt; "Anxiety" by Jaylah Hickmon; "APT." featuring a range of songwriters including Amy Allen and Bruno Mars; "DtMF" by Benito Antonio Martínez Ocasio and others; "Golden" by EJAI and Mark Sonnenblick; "luther" featuring Jack Antonoff and Kendrick Lamar; "Manchild" by Amy Allen and Jack Antonoff; and "Wildflower" from Billie Eilish O’Connell and Finneas O’Connell.

Sherman notes the strong competition and suggests that Lady Gaga's "Abracadabra" might secure a win in this category, particularly since she has yet to claim a victory here despite four nominations. Sherman argues that "Abracadabra" might feel more deserved in this songwriting-focused category versus Album of the Year.

Landrum agrees, emphasizing the song’s precise and intentional lyricism and melodic construction that reflect Lady Gaga’s focused songwriting approach.

Best New Artist

The nominees include Olivia Dean, Katseye, The Marias, Addison Rae, sombr, Leon Thomas, Alex Warren, and Lola Young.

Landrum remarks that this category increasingly rewards those presenting a strong, cohesive identity from the outset, highlighting Leon Thomas for his songwriting discipline and genre versatility demonstrated on "Mutt," qualities that could resonate with voters looking toward long-term career potential.

Sherman acknowledges Thomas’s strengths but points out Olivia Dean as the most frequently mentioned new artist in discussions, noting that streaming success does not always translate directly to this award.

Best Pop Duo/Group Performance

Nominees include "Defying Gravity" by Cynthia Erivo and Ariana Grande; "Golden" by HUNTR/X featuring EJAE, Audrey Nuna, and REI AMI; "Gabriela" by Katseye; "APT." by Rosé and Bruno Mars; and "30 for 30" by SZA with Kendrick Lamar.

Sherman identifies multiple K-pop or K-pop adjacent nominees, suggesting a potential breakthrough if any win, with "Golden" currently favored. She also notes that if the Lamar and SZA collaboration were "Luther" instead of "30 for 30," this would likely change the competitive dynamics.

Landrum sees the category as a close contest between "Golden" and "APT.", giving a slight edge to "APT." due to its balanced collaboration and strong presence of Bruno Mars, whose refined performances resonate well with voters.

Best Rap Album

Nominees: "Let God Sort Em Out" by Clipse, Pusha T, and Malice; "Glorious" by GloRilla; "God Does Like Ugly" by JID; "GNX" by Kendrick Lamar; and "Chromakopia" by Tyler, the Creator.

Landrum contends that if "GNX" merits Album of the Year, it should logically also receive Best Rap Album. He commends "GNX" for its cultural prominence and coherence without following algorithmic trends, representing rap at its pinnacle. Sherman concurs, describing "GNX" as a standard-setting work deserving of top honors.

Best Contemporary Country Album

The five nominees are Kelsea Ballerini's "Patterns," Tyler Childers’ "Snipe Hunter," Eric Church's "Evangeline vs the Machine," Jelly Roll's "Beautifully Broken," and Miranda Lambert's "Postcards from Texas."

Sherman details the newly introduced distinction in country categories into contemporary and traditional, noting that the contemporary label tends to encompass artists blending country with other genres or presenting non-traditional narratives. She suggests Eric Church’s country-rock style may appeal more to voters than the pop-oriented Ballerini or the genre-fluid Jelly Roll.

Landrum sides with Jelly Roll’s candidacy, emphasizing "Beautifully Broken" as a timely and redemptive work characterized by emotional honesty and genre fluidity, which may resonate with voters embracing broader interpretations of the category.

Best R&B Album

Nominated albums include "Beloved" by Giveon, "Why Not More?" by Coco Jones, "The Crown" by Ledisi, "Escape Room" by Teyana Taylor, and "Mutt" by Leon Thomas.

Landrum points to "Mutt" as a leading contender, emphasizing its songwriting and performance focus and restraint in production, traits that often attract Grammy recognition. Sherman agrees, referencing industry commentary on R&B’s anticipated resurgence with Leon Thomas positioned as an emerging leader in the genre.

Best Dance/Electronic Album

Nominees are FKA twigs’ "EUSEXUA," Fred again …’s "Ten Days," PinkPantheress’ "Fancy That," Rüfüs du Sol’s "Inhale/Exhale," and Skrillex’s "F--- U Skrillex You Think Ur Andy Warhol but UR Not! 3."

Sherman remarks on Skrillex's strong standing given his previous Grammy successes. Landrum highlights Skrillex’s album for its forward sound exploration balanced with clear structure, qualities historically favored in this category.

Best Latin Pop Album

Nominees include Rauw Alejandro’s "Cosa Nuestra," Andrés Cepeda’s "Bogotá (Deluxe)," Karol G's "Tropicoqueta," Natalia Lafourcade’s "Cancionera," and Alejandro Sanz’s "¿Y ahora qué?."

Sherman suggests voters may lean toward traditional artists like Lafourcade or Sanz, reflecting patterns from previous Latin Grammys. Landrum acknowledges the case for tradition but highlights Karol G’s "Tropicoqueta" as a project representing forward movement by balancing accessibility with cultural specificity, which could stand out to voters embracing contemporary shifts.


The 68th Grammy Awards ceremony will take place on February 1 at the Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles and will be broadcast on CBS with streaming available on Paramount+. For ongoing coverage and updates about this year's awards, interested audiences can visit the official Grammy Awards coverage hub.

Risks
  • The ongoing evolution of the Recording Academy’s electorate introduces uncertainty about potential shifts in voting patterns and recognition of non-English language music, impacting award outcomes.
  • Voter preference for familiar narratives or established artists might overshadow newer talent or genre-blending projects, creating unpredictability in several categories.
  • Changes in category definitions, such as the introduction of contemporary and traditional country distinctions, may cause divisiveness or confusion among voters and fans, affecting album category results.
Disclosure
This article is an independent analysis of the Grammy Awards nominees and projected outcomes. It contains expert commentary based on publicly available nomination information and does not involve speculation beyond stated facts or insider insights.
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