February 10, 2026
Finance

Credo Technology Shares Surge on Strong Preliminary Q3 Revenue Outlook

Market Reacts to Revised Guidance Suggesting Substantial Growth for Fiscal 2026

Summary

Shares of Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd. (NASDAQ: CRDO) climbed significantly in premarket trading on Tuesday following the company’s announcement of preliminary revenue figures for the third quarter of fiscal 2026. The updated guidance, which notably increases revenue expectations, highlights robust growth prospects amid a generally stable technology sector environment.

Key Points

Credo Technology raised its preliminary Q3 fiscal 2026 revenue guidance to $404-$408 million, significantly exceeding initial estimates of $335-$345 million.
Fiscal 2026 revenue growth is expected to surpass 200% year-over-year, with anticipated sequential growth entering fiscal 2027.
The company’s stock is demonstrating strong short-term technical momentum while trading near its 52-week highs, reflecting investor interest.
Analyst consensus remains bullish with a Buy rating average and price targets implying around 19% upside despite the premium valuation.

Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd. (NASDAQ: CRDO) saw its stock price rise sharply in early trading Tuesday after the company disclosed preliminary revenue results for the third quarter of its fiscal year 2026. The upward movement follows Monday’s announcement after market close, where Credo revised its revenue expectations upward for the quarter, signaling strong business momentum heading into the new fiscal year.

Initially, Credo had forecasted third-quarter revenues between $335 million and $345 million. The recent update now suggests revenues will fall within a significantly higher range, projected to be between $404 million and $408 million. This marked increase represents a notable revision that has captured investor interest and contributed to the stock’s impressive premarket performance.

The company attributes this growth to its position within the data infrastructure ecosystem, providing high-speed technological solutions aimed at overcoming bandwidth constraints on wired connections. This positioning has apparently enabled Credo to capitalize on demand trends and widen its market presence.

Looking ahead, Credo foresees fiscal year 2026 revenue growth exceeding 200 percent compared to the prior year. Moreover, the firm anticipates sequential growth continuing into fiscal year 2027, estimating mid-single-digit percentage gains quarter-over-quarter. These projections indicate optimistic operational prospects as the company plans to elaborate on these preliminary results during its scheduled earnings conference call on March 2, 2026.

Market context shows that the broader technology sector experienced modest appreciation with a 0.10 percent gain on the preceding trading day, indicating a relatively stable environment. Credo’s stock performance, however, has clearly diverged positively from this broader trend, suggesting the latest corporate update is the primary catalyst driving the stock’s upward trajectory.

Technically, the stock is trading approximately 8.8 percent above its 20-day simple moving average (SMA), which indicates short-term strength. Contrastingly, it remains 3.6 percent below its 100-day SMA, a factor that warrants some caution regarding longer-term momentum. Over the past 12 months, Credo shares have increased more than 60 percent, positioning the stock nearer to its 52-week highs and illustrating its strong growth pattern over this timeframe.

In terms of technical indicators, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands near 46.58, within neutral territory, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions. The MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) sits below its signal line, indicating bearish pressure. This combination suggests mixed signals regarding momentum, with investors advised to monitor trends closely.

Key technical levels identified include resistance at $156.50 and support at $124.50, which may guide short-term trading ranges and investor decision-making.

From a financial perspective, Credo’s next earnings update is anticipated on March 2, 2026, coinciding with its earnings call. Analysts currently expect earnings per share (EPS) of 68 cents, a substantial increase from 25 cents reported in the previous year. Correspondingly, revenue estimates stand at approximately $341.39 million, up from $135.00 million year over year. These estimates reflect significant growth and are consistent with the company’s revised outlook.

The stock’s valuation, expressed as a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, is approximately 106.4, indicating that the market is pricing these shares at a premium relative to earnings. This elevated valuation suggests investor expectations for high growth continuation but also underscores the importance of closely tracking actual performance against forecasts.

Analyst sentiment remains generally positive, with an overall Buy rating consensus and an average price target of $171.08. Recent analyst actions include Rosenblatt initiating coverage with a Neutral rating and a price target of $170 as of January 21, 2026. Meanwhile, Roth Capital and Mizuho have both issued Buy or Outperform ratings with higher price targets of $250 and $225 respectively, reflecting growing confidence among certain market participants.

Despite the premium valuation, bullish analyst revisions imply that current growth expectations are considered achievable and valuable, with forecasts pointing toward a 19 percent upside potential from average target prices.

Additional data from Benzinga Edge metrics highlight various dimensions of Credo’s market standing: a low Value Rank of 5.12 indicating relative expensiveness compared to peers, but very high Growth (99.01) and Momentum (81.75) ranks supporting the strong recent performance and forward growth prospects. The company’s shares fall into a ‘High-Flyer’ classification, which implies both significant upside potential and elevated risk, warranting cautious position management such as tight stop-loss strategies for risk mitigation.

Credo’s shares are notably included in key exchange-traded funds (ETFs) including the Robotics & Automation ETF (NASDAQ: BOTT) with a weighting of 6.02 percent, iShares Russell 2000 Growth ETF (NYSE: IWO) at 1.43 percent, and the SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF (NYSE: XSD) at 4.17 percent. As a result, trading activity in these funds can influence Credo’s share price movements due to automatic portfolio adjustments.

On Tuesday premarket, Credo’s stock advanced approximately 17.49 percent to $145.00 per share, reflecting investor enthusiasm to the financial and operational updates provided by the company.


Credo Technology Group continues to position itself as a key player in addressing data infrastructure challenges with its high-speed innovations, backed by promising revenue trajectories and market optimism. Upcoming disclosures and sustained execution will be pivotal in validating valuations and securing investor confidence.

Risks
  • The stock’s high price-to-earnings ratio of 106.4 suggests it is trading at a premium which may increase volatility and vulnerability to earnings disappointments.
  • Mixed technical indicators, including a neutral RSI and bearish MACD, reflect uncertain momentum that could lead to short-term price corrections.
  • Dependence on inclusion in ETFs means that large ETF inflows or outflows could impact the share price independent of company fundamentals.
  • Strong growth expectations must be met in future reporting periods, failing which the stock may face significant downside pressure.
Disclosure
Education only / not financial advice
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